{ "collected": "2026-09-24T18:39:33+00:00", "license": "CC BY 4.0", "attribution": { "required": true, "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/crypto-price-predictions/accuracy/" }, "summary": { "n": 1008, "days": 90, "brier": 0.03433747023809524, "favourite_rate": 0.9523809523809523, "close_n": 84, "close_favourite_rate": 0.6547619047619048 }, "bands": [ { "band": "0–10%", "n": 351, "avg_price": 0.010579772079772079, "yes_rate": 0.03133903133903134 }, { "band": "10–20%", "n": 28, "avg_price": 0.14657142857142857, "yes_rate": 0.21428571428571427 }, { "band": "20–30%", "n": 21, "avg_price": 0.25311904761904763, "yes_rate": 0.23809523809523808 }, { "band": "30–40%", "n": 12, "avg_price": 0.35120833333333334, "yes_rate": 0.08333333333333333 }, { "band": "40–50%", "n": 14, "avg_price": 0.43882142857142853, "yes_rate": 0.5714285714285714 }, { "band": "50–60%", "n": 7, "avg_price": 0.5664285714285714, "yes_rate": 0.2857142857142857 }, { "band": 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