{ "updated": "2026-09-24T18:30:23+00:00", "license": "CC BY 4.0", "attribution": { "required": true, "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/senate-forecast-2026/" }, "ratings": "favourite's price: safe >=95%, likely 80-95%, lean 60-80%, toss-up <60%", "chambers": { "senate": { "control": [ { "outcome": "Democratic Party", "price": 0.625 }, { "outcome": "Republican Party", "price": 0.375 } ], "seats": [ { "outcome": "≤47", "price": 0.375 }, { "outcome": "48", "price": 0.155 }, { "outcome": "49", "price": 0.135 }, { "outcome": "50", "price": 0.105 }, { "outcome": "51", "price": 0.085 }, { "outcome": "52", "price": 0.0555 }, { "outcome": "53", "price": 0.031 }, { "outcome": "54", "price": 0.021 }, { "outcome": "55", "price": 0.006 }, { "outcome": "56", "price": 0.002 }, { "outcome": "57+", "price": 0.0055 } ], "races": [ { "race": "Iowa", "market": "iowa-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Toss-up", "volume": 565756.73, "candidates": [ { "name": "Ashley Hinson", "party": "R", "price": 0.545 }, { "name": "Josh Turek", "party": "D", "price": 0.465 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATEIA-26", "R": 0.555, "D": 0.45 } }, { "race": "Ohio", "market": "ohio-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Toss-up", "volume": 723774.8, "candidates": [ { "name": "Sherrod Brown", "party": "D", "price": 0.585 }, { "name": "Jon Husted", "party": "R", "price": 0.395 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATEOHS-26", "R": 0.405, "D": 0.595 } }, { "race": "Texas", "market": "texas-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Lean Democrat", "volume": 1488020.47, "candidates": [ { "name": "James Talarico", "party": "D", "price": 0.605 }, { "name": "Ken Paxton", "party": "R", "price": 0.395 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATETX-26", "R": 0.425, "D": 0.585 } }, { "race": "Maine", "market": "maine-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Lean Democrat", "volume": 1854950.29, "candidates": [ { "name": "Troy Jackson", "party": "D", "price": 0.675 }, { "name": "Susan Collins", "party": "R", "price": 0.325 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATEME-26", "R": 0.335, "D": 0.665 } }, { "race": "Nebraska", "market": "nebraska-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Lean Republican", "volume": 375802.29, "candidates": [ { "name": "Pete Ricketts", "party": "R", "price": 0.685 }, { "name": "Independent", "party": "I", "price": 0.325 }, { "name": "Democrat", "party": "D", "price": 0.0035 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATENE-26", "R": 0.705, "D": 0.004 } }, { "race": "Kansas", "market": "kansas-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Lean Republican", "volume": 186352.9, "candidates": [ { "name": "Roger Marshall", "party": "R", "price": 0.695 }, { "name": "Adam Hamilton", "party": "D", "price": 0.305 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATEKS-26", "R": 0.695, "D": 0.31 } }, { "race": "Michigan", "market": "michigan-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Lean Democrat", "volume": 1038301.88, "candidates": [ { "name": "Abdul El-Sayed", "party": "D", "price": 0.715 }, { "name": "Mike Rogers", "party": "R", "price": 0.285 } ], "kalshi": { "ticker": "SENATEMI-26", "R": 0.265, "D": 0.735 } }, { "race": "Alaska", "market": "alaska-senate-election-winner", "rating": "Lean (Mary Peltola)", "volume": 1010692.94, "candidates": [ { "name": "Mary Peltola", "party": "", "price": 0.735 }, { "name": "Sen. 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