{
 "slug": "al-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/al-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/al-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-24T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20576.89,
 "volume_24h": 2551.07,
 "liquidity": 91957.95,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.245,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 3502.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 3098.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": -0.05,
   "volume": 2809.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume": 920.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.0795,
   "change_24h": 0.009,
   "volume": 1008.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 2130.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.0535,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 610.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.051,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 3932.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 50%+",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 2235.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 328.03,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 25-30%": [
   [
    1790294427,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791374453,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791417652,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791504054,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791547255,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791676839,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791720039,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791849642,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791892840,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791936041,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791979253,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792022458,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792065645,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792108844,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792152045,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792195250,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792238446,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792368043,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792454443,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792497646,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792540847,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792584048,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792670448,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792756846,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792800056,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792847760,
    0.245
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 20-25%": [
   [
    1790294429,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790337624,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790553637,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790726426,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790985630,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791028828,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791331234,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791590435,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791676843,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791806440,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791936046,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791979259,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792065652,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792108850,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792152051,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792195257,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238453,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792368049,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792411249,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792454449,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792497653,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792540855,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792584056,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792670455,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792756852,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792847761,
    0.225
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 30-35%": [
   [
    1790294424,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791331227,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791374443,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791417643,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791460853,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791504044,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791547245,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791633634,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791676835,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791720035,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791763245,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791806431,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791849638,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791892835,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791936036,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791979247,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792022452,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792065638,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792108838,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792152038,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792195244,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792238439,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792324852,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792368036,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792411236,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792454436,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792497639,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792540840,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792584039,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792670440,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792713656,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792756840,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792800050,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792847759,
    0.215
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/al-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/al-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
