{
 "slug": "california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "California Governor Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-07T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 23319.18,
 "volume_24h": 10.9,
 "liquidity": 11299.93,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Becerra 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.4665,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume": 3739.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.4575,
   "change_24h": 0.2815,
   "volume": 1393.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.425,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 4893.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.42,
   "change_24h": 0.255,
   "volume": 4955.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Hilton Wins",
   "probability": 0.0305,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1488.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.022,
   "change_24h": 0.0075,
   "volume": 1603.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.0165,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1998.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": -0.0275,
   "volume": 1775.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Becerra 40%+",
   "probability": 0.002,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1469.89,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Becerra 25-30%": [
   [
    1791374437,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791417637,
    0.3575
   ],
   [
    1791460847,
    0.3535
   ],
   [
    1791504038,
    0.358
   ],
   [
    1791547239,
    0.379
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1791633631,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.2795
   ],
   [
    1791720032,
    0.293
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.329
   ],
   [
    1791806428,
    0.2945
   ],
   [
    1791849635,
    0.3125
   ],
   [
    1791892832,
    0.326
   ],
   [
    1791936033,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791979244,
    0.3285
   ],
   [
    1792022449,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1792065633,
    0.346
   ],
   [
    1792108834,
    0.3355
   ],
   [
    1792152034,
    0.3335
   ],
   [
    1792195239,
    0.3375
   ],
   [
    1792238434,
    0.3875
   ],
   [
    1792324848,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792368032,
    0.109
   ],
   [
    1792411232,
    0.3035
   ],
   [
    1792454432,
    0.232
   ],
   [
    1792497634,
    0.307
   ],
   [
    1792540835,
    0.334
   ],
   [
    1792584035,
    0.3375
   ],
   [
    1792670435,
    0.3395
   ],
   [
    1792713651,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792756836,
    0.353
   ],
   [
    1792800047,
    0.351
   ],
   [
    1792929632,
    0.344
   ],
   [
    1793016027,
    0.279
   ],
   [
    1793059251,
    0.2985
   ],
   [
    1793102443,
    0.234
   ],
   [
    1793145633,
    0.2705
   ],
   [
    1793188847,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1793275234,
    0.274
   ],
   [
    1793318435,
    0.174
   ],
   [
    1793361646,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1793404852,
    0.1785
   ],
   [
    1793448041,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1793491244,
    0.296
   ],
   [
    1793534431,
    0.3645
   ],
   [
    1793577630,
    0.3515
   ],
   [
    1793620831,
    0.4185
   ],
   [
    1793664027,
    0.349
   ],
   [
    1793707242,
    0.434
   ],
   [
    1793750430,
    0.4525
   ],
   [
    1793793630,
    0.436
   ],
   [
    1793836842,
    0.4725
   ],
   [
    1793880030,
    0.463
   ],
   [
    1793923232,
    0.4665
   ],
   [
    1793966431,
    0.4625
   ],
   [
    1794009632,
    0.4665
   ],
   [
    1794016464,
    0.4665
   ]
  ],
  "Becerra 30-35%": [
   [
    1791374430,
    0.0455
   ],
   [
    1791417630,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1791460840,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1791504030,
    0.047
   ],
   [
    1791547230,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1791633628,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791676828,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1791720028,
    0.061
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791806425,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1791849631,
    0.0745
   ],
   [
    1791892827,
    0.0555
   ],
   [
    1791936029,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1791979239,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1792022444,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1792065628,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1792108829,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1792152029,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1792195234,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1792238429,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792281654,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792324842,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792368027,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792411226,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792454426,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1792497628,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1792540829,
    0.0485
   ],
   [
    1792584029,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792670429,
    0.044
   ],
   [
    1792713644,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792756831,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1792800042,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792929627,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1793016023,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1793059247,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1793102437,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1793145627,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1793188839,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1793275227,
    0.0555
   ],
   [
    1793318428,
    0.0555
   ],
   [
    1793361639,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1793404845,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1793448034,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1793491238,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1793534425,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1793577624,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1793620824,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1793664022,
    0.1265
   ],
   [
    1793707238,
    0.099
   ],
   [
    1793750425,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1793793625,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1793836837,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1793880025,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1793923226,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1793966425,
    0.1805
   ],
   [
    1794009627,
    0.4575
   ],
   [
    1794016464,
    0.4575
   ]
  ],
  "Becerra 20-25%": [
   [
    1791374433,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791417633,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791460843,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791504034,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791547234,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791720030,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791806426,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791849632,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791979241,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792022446,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792065630,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792108831,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792152032,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792195236,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792238431,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792281657,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792324844,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792368029,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792411229,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792454429,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792497631,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792540831,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792584031,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792670431,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792713647,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792756833,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792800044,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792929629,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1793016025,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1793059249,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1793102440,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1793145630,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1793188843,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1793275230,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1793318431,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1793361642,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1793404848,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1793448037,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1793491240,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1793534428,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1793577627,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1793620827,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1793664024,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1793707239,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1793750427,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1793793627,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1793836839,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1793880027,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1793923228,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1793966427,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1794009629,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1794016464,
    0.425
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
