{
 "slug": "ct-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ct-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ct-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-25T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21822.11,
 "volume_24h": 2533.62,
 "liquidity": 93469.06,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.35,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 8385.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3610.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume": 3089.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 1695.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.1085,
   "change_24h": 0.1045,
   "volume": 954.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50%+",
   "probability": 0.039,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 816.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.012,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 938.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1209.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 475.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 646.34,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 30-35%": [
   [
    1790380822,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791374459,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791417657,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792065650,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1792152049,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792368047,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1792411246,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1792454447,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1792497650,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792540851,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792584053,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1792756850,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1792800059,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792886408,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1792929647,
    0.32
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 35-40%": [
   [
    1790380822,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791417659,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791806439,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791849646,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1791892844,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792065651,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1792108848,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1792152050,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1792195255,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1792238452,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1792368048,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792411248,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1792454448,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1792497651,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1792540853,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1792584054,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792670454,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792756851,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792886410,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792929649,
    0.335
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 40-45%": [
   [
    1790380822,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791806439,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791892844,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792065651,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792152050,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792195256,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792238452,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792368048,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792411248,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792454448,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792540854,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792584055,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792670454,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792756851,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792886410,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792929649,
    0.23
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ct-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ct-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
