{
 "slug": "ecb-interest-rates-february-2027",
 "title": "ECB Interest Rates: February 2027",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-february-2027/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-february-2027",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-12T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-02-04T23:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 22951.89,
 "volume_24h": 1173.4,
 "liquidity": 13013.89,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.765,
   "change_24h": -0.06,
   "volume": 6376.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": 0.1,
   "volume": 4884.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "25 bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.009,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 4579.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps increase",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 3556.16,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3555.57,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "No Change": [
   [
    1793361641,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1793404847,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1793448036,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1793491240,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1793534427,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1793577626,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1793620827,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1793664024,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1793707239,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1793750427,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1793793627,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1793836838,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1793880027,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1793923228,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1793966427,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1794009628,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1794052827,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1794096037,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1794139226,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1794182438,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1794225623,
    0.86
   ],
   [
    1794268822,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1794312023,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1794355218,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1794398420,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1794441621,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1794446119,
    0.765
   ]
  ],
  "25 bps increase": [
   [
    1793448056,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1793491259,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1793534445,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1793577644,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1793620845,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1793664036,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1793707253,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793750441,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1793793642,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1793836852,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1793880042,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1793923244,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1793966444,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1794009644,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1794052844,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1794096053,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1794139241,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1794182452,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1794225637,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1794268836,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1794312038,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1794355221,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1794398424,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1794441626,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1794446121,
    0.24
   ]
  ],
  "25 bps decrease": [
   [
    1793361646,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1793404851,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1793448040,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1793491244,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1793534431,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1793577629,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1793620830,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1793664026,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1793707242,
    0.0455
   ],
   [
    1793750430,
    0.0455
   ],
   [
    1793793630,
    0.0455
   ],
   [
    1793836841,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1793880030,
    0.032
   ],
   [
    1793923231,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1793966430,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1794009632,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1794052831,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1794096040,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1794139228,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1794182441,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1794225626,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1794268826,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1794312027,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1794355219,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1794398421,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1794441622,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1794446120,
    0.009
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-february-2027/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-february-2027/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}