{
 "slug": "fed-decision-in-january",
 "title": "Fed Decision in January?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-january/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january-20260729233815502",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T16:13:36+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-28T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 115363.39,
 "volume_24h": 4898.93,
 "liquidity": 420908.41,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "No change",
   "probability": 0.565,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 25249.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 43238.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "25 bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 25185.17,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.03,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 15578.41,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps increase",
   "probability": 0.0255,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 6112.52,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "No change": [
   [
    1787616024,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787659226,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787702426,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787745628,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787788826,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787832041,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787875227,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787918426,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788004826,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788048026,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788091226,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788177628,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788220837,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788264027,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788307225,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788350444,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788393629,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788436829,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790266756,
    0.565
   ]
  ],
  "25 bps increase": [
   [
    1787616016,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1787659217,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787702417,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787745617,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787788818,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787832032,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787875217,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787918415,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787961618,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788004817,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788048017,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788091217,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788134418,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788177618,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788220828,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788264018,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788307216,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1788350434,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1788393620,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788436818,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788480017,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788523216,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788609618,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788652822,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788696016,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788739231,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789171218,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789214419,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790266753,
    0.315
   ]
  ],
  "25 bps decrease": [
   [
    1787616021,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787659222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787702422,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787745624,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1787788823,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1787832037,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787875223,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787918421,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787961623,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788004823,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788048022,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788091222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788177624,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788220834,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788264024,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788307221,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788350440,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788393625,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788436825,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788609622,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1790266755,
    0.05
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-january/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-january/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}