{
 "slug": "french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026",
 "title": "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-28T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-04-18T23:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 98903.95,
 "volume_24h": 343.26,
 "liquidity": 114870.23,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Éric Zemmour",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.1445,
   "volume": 14456.28,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Raphaël Glucksmann",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.1295,
   "volume": 12749.89,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Marine Le Pen",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0245,
   "volume": 10477.52,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.028,
   "volume": 7073.25,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Olivier Faure",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.5,
   "volume": 2975.76,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Gabriel Attal",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.085,
   "volume": 1398.41,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "François Hollande",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 1849.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dominique de Villepin",
   "probability": 0.625,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 1705.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Bernard Cazeneuve",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 1320.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Élisabeth Borne",
   "probability": 0.092,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 3223.41,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Yaël Braun-Pivet",
   "probability": 0.089,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 1088.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Sébastien Lecornu",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4243.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Michel Barnier",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 509.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jordan Bardella",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 6504.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Manuel Bompard",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3355.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Gérald Darmanin",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1177.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Carole Delga",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1458.95,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Valérie Pécresse",
   "probability": 0.0505,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1415.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mathilde Panot",
   "probability": 0.029,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 19319.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jean Castex",
   "probability": 0.025,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 1246.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "François Bayrou",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1353.01,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "François Hollande": [
   [
    1787918420,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1788004822,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788177623,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788220833,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788264023,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788436824,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790557511,
    0.655
   ]
  ],
  "Dominique de Villepin": [
   [
    1787918417,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1787961619,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788004818,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788048018,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788091218,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788134419,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1788177619,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1788220829,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1788264019,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1788307217,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1788350435,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1788393621,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1788436820,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1788480017,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1788523217,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788609619,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788652823,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788696017,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788739231,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1789560021,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790557510,
    0.625
   ]
  ],
  "Bernard Cazeneuve": [
   [
    1787918426,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788004827,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788048026,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788091226,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1788177628,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1788264028,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1788307225,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1788350445,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788393630,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1788436830,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1790557512,
    0.435
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
