{
 "slug": "how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
 "title": "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-21T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21956.46,
 "volume_24h": 901.39,
 "liquidity": 2908.33,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "5.67%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3055,
   "volume": 776.24,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "5.80%",
   "probability": 0.28,
   "change_24h": 0.235,
   "volume": 3922.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.70%",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume": 2931.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.76%",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 1784.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.73%",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 4740.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.85%",
   "probability": 0.0545,
   "change_24h": 0.0145,
   "volume": 1788.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.90%",
   "probability": 0.044,
   "change_24h": 0.0115,
   "volume": 1911.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "6.00%",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": 0.011,
   "volume": 2522.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.95%",
   "probability": 0.024,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 1578.57,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "5.80%": [
   [
    1790899221,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1791331227,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1791374444,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1791417644,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1791460854,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1791504045,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791547246,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791633634,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791676835,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791720035,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791763245,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1791806431,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791849638,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791892835,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791936036,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791979248,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792022453,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792065638,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792108838,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792152039,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792195244,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1792238439,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1792324852,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1792368037,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792411236,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792454436,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792497639,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1792540840,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1792584040,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792588582,
    0.065
   ]
  ],
  "5.70%": [
   [
    1790899219,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1791374437,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791417637,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1791460847,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791504038,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1791547239,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791633631,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1791720032,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1791806428,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1791849635,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791892832,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791936033,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1791979244,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1792022449,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792065633,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792108834,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1792152035,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792195239,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792238434,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792324848,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792368032,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792411232,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792454432,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792497634,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792540835,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1792584035,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792588581,
    0.085
   ]
  ],
  "5.76%": [
   [
    1790899226,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791331234,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791806439,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792065651,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792152050,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792195256,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1792238453,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792368048,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792411248,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1792454449,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792540854,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1792584055,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792588524,
    0.065
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}