{
 "slug": "how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september",
 "title": "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 68483.29,
 "volume_24h": 844.99,
 "liquidity": 10484.52,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Below 4.56%",
   "probability": 0.021,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1803.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.51%",
   "probability": 0.02,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 980.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.76%",
   "probability": 0.019,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 27152.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.73%",
   "probability": 0.0185,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume": 15711.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.67%",
   "probability": 0.0175,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 2896.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.64%",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 4387.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.61%",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3136.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.45%",
   "probability": 0.012,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3171.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.70%",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": -0.0085,
   "volume": 9243.57,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Below 4.56%": [
   [
    1788436828,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788523221,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788609624,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788652827,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788739235,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.032
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.0105
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790272517,
    0.02
   ]
  ],
  "Below 4.51%": [
   [
    1788436821,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788523217,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788566418,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788609620,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788652823,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788696018,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1788739232,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790272515,
    0.02
   ]
  ],
  "Below 4.76%": [
   [
    1788436825,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788609622,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.1155
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.1155
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.0685
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.057
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.0295
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.0665
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790272516,
    0.0185
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
