{
 "slug": "how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october",
 "title": "How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-23T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20187.26,
 "volume_24h": 4343.99,
 "liquidity": 439.95,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Below 4.83%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.5595,
   "volume": 3590.11,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.80%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.7795,
   "volume": 2554.01,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.86%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3695,
   "volume": 1939.01,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.89%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3745,
   "volume": 1925.35,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.95%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.5105,
   "volume": 1483.34,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.92%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.568,
   "volume": 1264.65,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.75%",
   "probability": 0.66,
   "change_24h": 0.475,
   "volume": 2520.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.70%",
   "probability": 0.28,
   "change_24h": 0.155,
   "volume": 4169.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.65%",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": 0.145,
   "volume": 740.95,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Below 4.75%": [
   [
    1790899216,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791028816,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791201618,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791331221,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791374427,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791417628,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791460837,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791504027,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791547228,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791590422,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791633627,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791676827,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791720027,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791763238,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791806423,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791849629,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791892826,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791936027,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791979237,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792022442,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792065626,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792108827,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792152027,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792195232,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792238426,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792281653,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792324840,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792368025,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792411224,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792454424,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792497626,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792540826,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792584026,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792670426,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792713642,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1792718001,
    0.66
   ]
  ],
  "Below 4.70%": [
   [
    1790899219,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791331224,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791374437,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791417637,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1791460847,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791504038,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791547238,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791633631,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791720032,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791806428,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791849634,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791892831,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791936033,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791979244,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792022448,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1792065633,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792108833,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792152034,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792195239,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792238434,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792324847,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792368032,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792411231,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792454432,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792497634,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792540834,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792584034,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792670434,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792713650,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792718002,
    0.285
   ]
  ],
  "Below 4.65%": [
   [
    1790899224,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791374456,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791979254,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792195252,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792238448,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792368045,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792454445,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792497648,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792540849,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792584050,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792670450,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792718004,
    0.22
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}