{
 "slug": "how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september",
 "title": "How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 25327.44,
 "volume_24h": 3406.35,
 "liquidity": 7430.24,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Below 4.46%",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 547.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.49%",
   "probability": 0.0195,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 1443.04,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.32%",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3144.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.27%",
   "probability": 0.014,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 2269.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.43%",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 1631.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.37%",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2895.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.20%",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2604.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.52%",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 6907.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Below 4.40%",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": -0.013,
   "volume": 3883.3,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Below 4.46%": [
   [
    1788436829,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1788609624,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1788652827,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788739235,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.2105
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.0295
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1790272696,
    0.03
   ]
  ],
  "Below 4.49%": [
   [
    1788436830,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.031
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1790272696,
    0.0195
   ]
  ],
  "Below 4.32%": [
   [
    1788436824,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.032
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1790272695,
    0.0155
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}