{
 "slug": "how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026",
 "title": "How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-09T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20281.85,
 "volume_24h": 3650.06,
 "liquidity": 9558.17,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "450k to 475k",
   "probability": 0.24,
   "change_24h": 0.1,
   "volume": 2804.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "425k to 450k",
   "probability": 0.2345,
   "change_24h": 0.0475,
   "volume": 2042.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "475k to 500k",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": 0.055,
   "volume": 4840.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "500k to 525k",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2009.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "400k to 425k",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": -0.0895,
   "volume": 1188.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "550k to 575k",
   "probability": 0.0625,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume": 690.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "575k+",
   "probability": 0.0495,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 1126.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "525k to 550k",
   "probability": 0.027,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 4570.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "<400k",
   "probability": 0.027,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 1078.38,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "450k to 475k": [
   [
    1792584032,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792670432,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792713648,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792756834,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792800044,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792929630,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793016026,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1793059249,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1793102440,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1793145630,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1793188843,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1793275230,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1793318431,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1793361643,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1793404849,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793448038,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793491241,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1793534428,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1793577627,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793620827,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1793664025,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1793707240,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1793750428,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793793628,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1793836839,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1793880028,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1793923229,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1793966428,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1794009630,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1794052828,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1794096038,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1794139226,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1794182440,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1794186869,
    0.24
   ]
  ],
  "425k to 450k": [
   [
    1792584028,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1792670428,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1792713644,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1792756831,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1792800042,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1792929625,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1793016022,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1793059246,
    0.1985
   ],
   [
    1793102437,
    0.204
   ],
   [
    1793145627,
    0.136
   ],
   [
    1793188839,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1793275226,
    0.1695
   ],
   [
    1793318427,
    0.1675
   ],
   [
    1793361639,
    0.1055
   ],
   [
    1793404844,
    0.2525
   ],
   [
    1793448033,
    0.1965
   ],
   [
    1793491236,
    0.2845
   ],
   [
    1793534423,
    0.1055
   ],
   [
    1793577622,
    0.1285
   ],
   [
    1793620823,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1793664021,
    0.277
   ],
   [
    1793707236,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1793750423,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1793793624,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1793836836,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1793880024,
    0.1695
   ],
   [
    1793923225,
    0.2035
   ],
   [
    1793966424,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1794009625,
    0.156
   ],
   [
    1794052824,
    0.1175
   ],
   [
    1794096034,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1794139222,
    0.312
   ],
   [
    1794182436,
    0.286
   ],
   [
    1794186869,
    0.207
   ]
  ],
  "475k to 500k": [
   [
    1792584045,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792670444,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792756844,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792800054,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792929641,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1793016033,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1793059259,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1793102453,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1793145642,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1793188857,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1793275244,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1793318445,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1793361658,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1793448053,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1793491255,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1793534442,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1793577641,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1793620842,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1793664034,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1793707250,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1793750438,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1793793639,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1793836850,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1793880040,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1793923241,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1793966441,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1794009641,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1794052841,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1794096050,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1794139238,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1794182450,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1794186870,
    0.19
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}