{
 "slug": "il-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-26T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20435.26,
 "volume_24h": 617.28,
 "liquidity": 74594.86,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.33,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 4733.39,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": 0.13,
   "volume": 5062.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume": 3558.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.0735,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1647.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2163.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 954.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.034,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 898.97,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35%+",
   "probability": 0.022,
   "change_24h": 0.014,
   "volume": 892.17,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 525.58,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 20-25%": [
   [
    1790424022,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791331234,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791590435,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791676843,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791806440,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791936046,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792065652,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792152051,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792195256,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792238453,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792368049,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792411249,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1792454449,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792540854,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792584056,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792670455,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792756852,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792886411,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792929650,
    0.355
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 15-20%": [
   [
    1790424014,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791331219,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791374420,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791417621,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791460830,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791504020,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791547220,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791590419,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791633622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791676822,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791720022,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791763233,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791806418,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791849624,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791892820,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791936022,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791979232,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792022436,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792065620,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792108821,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792152021,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792195226,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792238420,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792281647,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792324834,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792368019,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792411218,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792454419,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792497620,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792540820,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792584020,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792670420,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792713636,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792756825,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792800036,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792929619,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792972855,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792977639,
    0.285
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790424015,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791331221,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791374428,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791417629,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791460838,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791504029,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791547229,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791633628,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791676827,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791720027,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791763238,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791806424,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791849629,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791892826,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791936027,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791979238,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792022443,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792065627,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792108828,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792152028,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792195233,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792238428,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792281653,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792324841,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792368026,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792411225,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792454425,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792497627,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792540828,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792584028,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792670428,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792713643,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792756830,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792800041,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792929625,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792977639,
    0.2
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}