{
 "slug": "il-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-24T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20490.13,
 "volume_24h": 1514.05,
 "liquidity": 128489.85,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 3750.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.3,
   "change_24h": 0.07,
   "volume": 2229.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume": 3498.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.0805,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 1174.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35%+",
   "probability": 0.062,
   "change_24h": -0.0175,
   "volume": 4509.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 2094.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.0305,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 1414.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.004,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1313.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 504.64,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790294426,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791374450,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791417649,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791504052,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791547252,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791633636,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1791676838,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791720038,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791763247,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791806434,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791849641,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791892838,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1791936039,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1791979251,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1792022457,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792065643,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792108842,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792152043,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792195248,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792238444,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792324856,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792368041,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792411241,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792454441,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792497644,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792540845,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792584045,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792670445,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792756844,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792800054,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792847881,
    0.37
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 15-20%": [
   [
    1790294425,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791417646,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791460857,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791504048,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791547249,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791590429,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791720036,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791849639,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791979249,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792022455,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792065641,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792108840,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792152041,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792195246,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792238442,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792324854,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792368039,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792411238,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792454439,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792497641,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792540842,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792584043,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792670442,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792713658,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792756842,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792800052,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792847858,
    0.245
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 20-25%": [
   [
    1790294421,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791331224,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791374436,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791417636,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791460846,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791504037,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791547238,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791590425,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791633631,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791676831,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791720031,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791806428,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791849634,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791892831,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791936032,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791979243,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792022448,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792065632,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792108833,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792152034,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792195239,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792238434,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792281659,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792324847,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792368031,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792411231,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792454431,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792497633,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792540834,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792584034,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792670434,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792713650,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792756835,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792800046,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792847879,
    0.23
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}