{
 "slug": "il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-11T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21975.8,
 "volume_24h": 2134.28,
 "liquidity": 117137.07,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume": 3650.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 2098.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.245,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 6086.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.103,
   "change_24h": -0.0205,
   "volume": 5778.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.051,
   "change_24h": -0.084,
   "volume": 838.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 667.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.0365,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 735.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.033,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume": 702.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 50%+",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 759.31,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.028,
   "volume": 657.71,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 35-40%": [
   [
    1789128024,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790164831,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791374450,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791417649,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791504051,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791547252,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791633636,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1791676837,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791680662,
    0.28
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 25-30%": [
   [
    1789128022,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789560024,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791331227,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791374443,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791417642,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791460853,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791504044,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791547245,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791633634,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791680661,
    0.255
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 30-35%": [
   [
    1789128018,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790164820,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1791331222,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791374430,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791417630,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791460839,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791504030,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791547230,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791633628,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791676828,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791680660,
    0.245
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
