{
 "slug": "il-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-23T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 22951.04,
 "volume_24h": 3198.15,
 "liquidity": 99623.77,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.405,
   "change_24h": 0.275,
   "volume": 2616.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.24,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 5343.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume": 3745.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.0795,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 2707.88,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.077,
   "change_24h": -0.0315,
   "volume": 1569.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35%+",
   "probability": 0.0575,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 4778.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": -0.0085,
   "volume": 1067.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.004,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 674.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 447.24,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 15-20%": [
   [
    1790164836,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791417657,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792065650,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792152049,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792368047,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792411247,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792454447,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792497650,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792540852,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792584053,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792717947,
    0.405
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 20-25%": [
   [
    1790164827,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791374443,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791417642,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791460853,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791504044,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791547244,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791720035,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791806431,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791936036,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791979247,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792022452,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792065637,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792108837,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792152038,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792195243,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792324851,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792368036,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792411236,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792454436,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792497639,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792540839,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792584039,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792670439,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792713655,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792717944,
    0.24
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790164833,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791374454,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791417652,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791504055,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791547256,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791676839,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791849643,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791892840,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791936041,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791979253,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792022459,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792065646,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792108844,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792152046,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792195250,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792238447,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792368043,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1792454443,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792497646,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792540848,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792584049,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792670448,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792717946,
    0.185
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}