{
 "slug": "in-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-12T09:11:15+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20255.64,
 "volume_24h": 851.57,
 "liquidity": 116914.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.32,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 3328.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 4820.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 4743.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.1435,
   "change_24h": 0.042,
   "volume": 1036.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 1800.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.047,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 645.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 35%+",
   "probability": 0.038,
   "change_24h": -0.013,
   "volume": 1562.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.0275,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 1524.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 792.92,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 10-15%": [
   [
    1789214426,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791417657,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.31
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 15-20%": [
   [
    1789214425,
    0.309
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.2955
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.246
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.1645
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.1735
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.161
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.1215
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.307
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.3045
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.301
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.277
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.2545
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.221
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.212
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.232
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.222
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.2355
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.2365
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.236
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.2555
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.276
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.2555
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.2435
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.2505
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.239
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.234
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.2355
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.2385
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.249
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.259
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.2545
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.243
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.261
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.233
   ],
   [
    1791374456,
    0.2595
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.2445
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.219
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.3095
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 20-25%": [
   [
    1789214421,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791374440,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791417639,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791460849,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791504041,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791547241,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791720033,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791797420,
    0.205
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}