{
 "slug": "in-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-25T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20889.66,
 "volume_24h": 1047.81,
 "liquidity": 95133.72,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 4401.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12-15%",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": -0.075,
   "volume": 3424.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 4272.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-18%",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 2424.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.0845,
   "change_24h": 0.011,
   "volume": 3498.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.052,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 546.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 21%+",
   "probability": 0.0515,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 548.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 18-21%",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 217.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.081,
   "volume": 1085.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3%+",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 470.86,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 9-12%": [
   [
    1790380821,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791374456,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791979254,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792195252,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238448,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792368045,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792454445,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792497648,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792540849,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792584050,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792670450,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792756848,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792800058,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792886406,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792929645,
    0.185
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 12-15%": [
   [
    1790380815,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791331219,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791374420,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791417621,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791460830,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791504020,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791547220,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791590419,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791633622,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791676822,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791720022,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791763233,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791806418,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791849624,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791892820,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791936022,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791979232,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792022436,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792065620,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792108821,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792152021,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792195226,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792238420,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792281647,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792324834,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792368019,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792411218,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792454419,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792497620,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792540820,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792584020,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792670420,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792713636,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792756825,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792800036,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792929619,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792934300,
    0.175
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 6-9%": [
   [
    1790380818,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791374440,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791417640,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791460850,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791504041,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791547242,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791720033,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791849636,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791892833,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791936034,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791979245,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792022450,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792065635,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792108836,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792152036,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792195241,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792238436,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792324849,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792368034,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792411234,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792454434,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792497636,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792540837,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792584037,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792670437,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792713653,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792756838,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792800048,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792929634,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792934302,
    0.14
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}