{
 "slug": "iran-leadership-change",
 "title": "Iran leadership change?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leadership-change/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leadership-change-by",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 26041579.97,
 "volume_24h": 36875.88,
 "liquidity": 687293.14,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.255,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 325050.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4689789.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By November 30",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 51987.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.035,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 126334.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1561281.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By April 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume": 4964959.24,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By June 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 4386482.4,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By May 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 3411720.71,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By March 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3230921.55,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By August 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 1599414.12,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By July 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 1552292.73,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By August 22",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 79531.85,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By August 15",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 61814.14,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By March 13",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": null,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By June 30, 2027": [
   [
    1787529624,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787572821,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787616022,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787659224,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787702424,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787745625,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787832038,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787961624,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788048024,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788091223,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788393627,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788436826,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790178556,
    0.255
   ]
  ],
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1787529626,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787572823,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787616024,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787659226,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787702426,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787745628,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1787788826,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1787832040,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1787875226,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787918425,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788004826,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788048026,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788091225,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788177627,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788220837,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788264027,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788307224,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788350444,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788393629,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788436829,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788609624,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788652827,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788739235,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790178613,
    0.145
   ]
  ],
  "By November 30": [
   [
    1787529621,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787572819,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787616020,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787659221,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787702421,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787745622,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787788822,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787832036,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787875221,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787918420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788004821,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788177622,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788220832,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788264022,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788436823,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788523218,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788652824,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790178612,
    0.065
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leadership-change/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leadership-change/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}