{
 "slug": "maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round",
 "title": "Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260804181547915",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-18T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20579.81,
 "volume_24h": 1210.23,
 "liquidity": 245976.23,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Jackson 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4836.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Collins 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1870.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jackson 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 6013.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Collins 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 1017.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jackson 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.077,
   "change_24h": -0.007,
   "volume": 2530.21,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jackson 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 774.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Collins 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.056,
   "change_24h": 0.037,
   "volume": 1684.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Collins 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.0435,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 645.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jackson 12%+",
   "probability": 0.016,
   "change_24h": 0.0105,
   "volume": 660.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Collins 12%+",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 546.11,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Jackson 3-6%": [
   [
    1789776020,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791374433,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791417633,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791460843,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791504034,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791547234,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791720030,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791806426,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1791849632,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791979241,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792022446,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792065630,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792108831,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792152031,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792195236,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792238431,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792281657,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792324844,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792329260,
    0.325
   ]
  ],
  "Collins 0-3%": [
   [
    1789776020,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791374434,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791417635,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791460845,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791504035,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791547236,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791590425,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791720031,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791763241,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791806427,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791849633,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791892830,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791979242,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792022447,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792065631,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792108832,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792152032,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792195237,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792238432,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792281658,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792324845,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792329260,
    0.195
   ]
  ],
  "Jackson 0-3%": [
   [
    1789776019,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791374432,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791417632,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791460842,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791504033,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791547233,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791676829,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791720029,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791806426,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791849632,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791936030,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791979241,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792022445,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792065629,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792108830,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792152031,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792195236,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792238431,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792281656,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792324844,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792329260,
    0.16
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}