{
 "slug": "maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-25T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20285.95,
 "volume_24h": 2000.36,
 "liquidity": 96852.06,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": 0.075,
   "volume": 3562.31,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": -0.16,
   "volume": 3207.02,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 2745.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 5156.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.118,
   "change_24h": -0.053,
   "volume": 2668.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.081,
   "change_24h": 0.0665,
   "volume": 468.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.042,
   "change_24h": 0.0265,
   "volume": 533.45,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45%+",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": 0.0155,
   "volume": 650.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": 0.017,
   "volume": 613.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.012,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 681.04,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 30-35%": [
   [
    1790337618,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791374439,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791417639,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791460849,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791504040,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791547240,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791720033,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791806429,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791849635,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791892832,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791936034,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791979245,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792022450,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792065634,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792108835,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792152036,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792195240,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792238435,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792324848,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792368033,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792411233,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792454433,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792497636,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792540836,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792584036,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792670436,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792713652,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1792756837,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792800048,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792890901,
    0.215
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 20-25%": [
   [
    1790337616,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791331221,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791374428,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791417628,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791460837,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791504028,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791547228,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791590422,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791633627,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791676827,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791720027,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791763238,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791806423,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791849629,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791892826,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791936027,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791979237,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792022442,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792065626,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792108827,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792152027,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792195232,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792238426,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792281653,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792324840,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792368025,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792411224,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792454425,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792497626,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792540826,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792584026,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792670426,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792713642,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792756829,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792800041,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792890899,
    0.195
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790337623,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791417657,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791849646,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791979257,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792065650,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792108848,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792152049,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238451,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792368047,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792411247,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792454447,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792497651,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792540852,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792584053,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792756850,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792886408,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792890903,
    0.185
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
