{
 "slug": "metas-watermelon-released",
 "title": "Meta's Watermelon released?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/metas-watermelon-released/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-released-onptptpt-20260928142913437",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-05T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21618.12,
 "volume_24h": 1934.67,
 "liquidity": 22209.82,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "No release by October 31",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 7079.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 7",
   "probability": 0.1675,
   "change_24h": 0.1315,
   "volume": 147.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 21",
   "probability": 0.1115,
   "change_24h": 0.022,
   "volume": 802.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 14",
   "probability": 0.1075,
   "change_24h": 0.022,
   "volume": 185.97,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 8",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume": 91.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 9",
   "probability": 0.077,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 76.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 28",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 4180.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 20",
   "probability": 0.0505,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 2537.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 15",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 116.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 11",
   "probability": 0.0425,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 86.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.042,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1140.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 23",
   "probability": 0.042,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 611.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 12",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 96.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 24",
   "probability": 0.0365,
   "change_24h": -0.0495,
   "volume": 86.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 5",
   "probability": 0.036,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 113.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 26",
   "probability": 0.036,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 95.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 22",
   "probability": 0.0355,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 106.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 10",
   "probability": 0.035,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 232.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 30",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 236.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 29",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": -0.072,
   "volume": 1132.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 6",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 91.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 18",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1255.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 25",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 97.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 13",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 96.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 16",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 96.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 19",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 92.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 27",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 91.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 17",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 96.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "October 2",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 161.07,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "October 4",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 152.7,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "On or prior to October 1",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0245,
   "volume": 135.28,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "October 3",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 101.07,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "No release by October 31": [
   [
    1790640018,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791205392,
    0.34
   ]
  ],
  "October 7": [
   [
    1790640020,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.126
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.1375
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1791205392,
    0.0435
   ]
  ],
  "October 21": [
   [
    1790640017,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.108
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.089
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1791205391,
    0.1085
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/metas-watermelon-released/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/metas-watermelon-released/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
