{
 "slug": "mi-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mi-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-07T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 27676.68,
 "volume_24h": 256.53,
 "liquidity": 42050.76,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.969,
   "change_24h": 0.49,
   "volume": 8153.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.0255,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 2757.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.025,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume": 3936.17,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.017,
   "change_24h": -0.4455,
   "volume": 5907.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50%+",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": -0.011,
   "volume": 804.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 1445.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.0135,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 1848.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 1311.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.002,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 720.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 791.52,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 35-40%": [
   [
    1791374442,
    0.2175
   ],
   [
    1791417641,
    0.2215
   ],
   [
    1791460852,
    0.219
   ],
   [
    1791504043,
    0.2195
   ],
   [
    1791547243,
    0.219
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.217
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.2185
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.3295
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.3995
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.414
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.3095
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792022451,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792065637,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792108837,
    0.3065
   ],
   [
    1792152038,
    0.3025
   ],
   [
    1792195243,
    0.3005
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.312
   ],
   [
    1792324851,
    0.3245
   ],
   [
    1792368035,
    0.272
   ],
   [
    1792411235,
    0.2235
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.226
   ],
   [
    1792497638,
    0.252
   ],
   [
    1792540838,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792584038,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1792670439,
    0.216
   ],
   [
    1792713654,
    0.2135
   ],
   [
    1792756839,
    0.2525
   ],
   [
    1792800049,
    0.3305
   ],
   [
    1792929635,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1793016030,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1793059254,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1793102447,
    0.2365
   ],
   [
    1793145637,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1793188850,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1793275238,
    0.2265
   ],
   [
    1793318438,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1793361650,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1793404856,
    0.142
   ],
   [
    1793448046,
    0.2145
   ],
   [
    1793491248,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1793534436,
    0.089
   ],
   [
    1793577634,
    0.3225
   ],
   [
    1793620835,
    0.3695
   ],
   [
    1793664029,
    0.242
   ],
   [
    1793707245,
    0.239
   ],
   [
    1793750433,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1793793634,
    0.388
   ],
   [
    1793836845,
    0.4815
   ],
   [
    1793880034,
    0.4695
   ],
   [
    1793923235,
    0.478
   ],
   [
    1793966435,
    0.468
   ],
   [
    1794009635,
    0.969
   ],
   [
    1794016408,
    0.97
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1791374458,
    0.071
   ],
   [
    1791417656,
    0.0915
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.1255
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.1675
   ],
   [
    1791763250,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.164
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792065649,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1792152048,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1792368046,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1792411246,
    0.1315
   ],
   [
    1792454446,
    0.1415
   ],
   [
    1792497649,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1792540851,
    0.1555
   ],
   [
    1792584052,
    0.139
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792756849,
    0.1255
   ],
   [
    1792800059,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792886408,
    0.138
   ],
   [
    1792929647,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1793016038,
    0.123
   ],
   [
    1793145649,
    0.123
   ],
   [
    1793275252,
    0.131
   ],
   [
    1793318452,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1793534450,
    0.1565
   ],
   [
    1793577648,
    0.164
   ],
   [
    1793620849,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1793664039,
    0.0905
   ],
   [
    1793707256,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1793750444,
    0.069
   ],
   [
    1793793646,
    0.071
   ],
   [
    1793836856,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1793880046,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1793923247,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1793966447,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1794009647,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1794016410,
    0.0255
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 40-45%": [
   [
    1791374428,
    0.2455
   ],
   [
    1791417628,
    0.2455
   ],
   [
    1791460837,
    0.246
   ],
   [
    1791504028,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1791547228,
    0.239
   ],
   [
    1791590422,
    0.2415
   ],
   [
    1791633627,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791676827,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1791720027,
    0.239
   ],
   [
    1791763238,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1791806423,
    0.109
   ],
   [
    1791849629,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1791892826,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1791936027,
    0.2175
   ],
   [
    1791979237,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792022442,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792065626,
    0.196
   ],
   [
    1792108827,
    0.178
   ],
   [
    1792152027,
    0.194
   ],
   [
    1792195232,
    0.1975
   ],
   [
    1792238427,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1792281653,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1792324840,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1792368025,
    0.2135
   ],
   [
    1792411224,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1792454425,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1792497626,
    0.2015
   ],
   [
    1792540826,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1792584026,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1792670426,
    0.2045
   ],
   [
    1792713642,
    0.1845
   ],
   [
    1792756829,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1792800041,
    0.1925
   ],
   [
    1792929625,
    0.253
   ],
   [
    1793016022,
    0.213
   ],
   [
    1793059245,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1793102435,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1793145625,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1793188837,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1793275225,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1793318426,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1793361637,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1793404842,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1793448031,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1793491236,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1793534423,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1793577622,
    0.082
   ],
   [
    1793620823,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1793664021,
    0.169
   ],
   [
    1793707236,
    0.159
   ],
   [
    1793750423,
    0.421
   ],
   [
    1793793624,
    0.4825
   ],
   [
    1793836835,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1793880024,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1793923225,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1793966423,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1794009625,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1794016407,
    0.0255
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mi-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mi-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}