{
 "slug": "mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs",
 "title": "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs-20260702210646854",
 "category": "sports",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:11:27+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-10-11T23:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 58261.23,
 "volume_24h": 1151.95,
 "liquidity": 88380.55,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Matt Olson",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.275,
   "volume": 4065.51,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Yordan Alvarez",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.1445,
   "volume": 3190.34,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Junior Caminero",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0805,
   "volume": 3170.45,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Kyle Schwarber",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0265,
   "volume": 1061.5,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Pete Alonso",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.5135,
   "volume": 782.85,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Ben Rice",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.4895,
   "volume": 533.52,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Hunter Goodman",
   "probability": 0.52,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 2784.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Brandon Lowe",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2409.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Munetaka Murakami",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 582.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kazuma Okamoto",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 102.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Miguel Vargas",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 129.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dillon Dingler",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 5270.31,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Shea Langeliers",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4152.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Byron Buxton",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3483.02,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Aaron Judge",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3283.72,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "James Wood",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3134.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Shohei Ohtani",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3124.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "CJ Abrams",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2007.97,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Colson Montgomery",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1923.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jordan Walker",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1872.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mike Trout",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1581.38,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ketel Marte",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1578.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Bryce Harper",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1540.6,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nick Kurtz",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1270.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Wilson Contreras",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1191.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Juan Soto",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1096.95,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Manny Machado",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 957.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Christian Walker",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 944.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Will Andy Pages hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.4945,
   "volume": 531.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Will Dansby Swanson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.495,
   "volume": 502.49,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Hunter Goodman": [
   [
    1787616024,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1787659227,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1787702427,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1787745629,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1787788826,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1787832041,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1787875227,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1787918426,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1788004827,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1788091226,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1788177628,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1788264028,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788307225,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1788350445,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1788393630,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1788436830,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790270832,
    0.425
   ]
  ],
  "Brandon Lowe": [
   [
    1787616025,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1787659228,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1787702427,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1787745630,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1787875228,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1787918427,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788004828,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790270833,
    0.006
   ]
  ],
  "Munetaka Murakami": [
   [
    1787616024,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787659227,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787702427,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787745629,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787832041,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1787875227,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787918426,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788004827,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788091226,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788177628,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788264028,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788307225,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788350445,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788393630,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788436830,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.044
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790270832,
    0.006
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
