{
 "slug": "mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-11T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20117.87,
 "volume_24h": 2214.28,
 "liquidity": 112485.19,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-45%",
   "probability": 0.228,
   "change_24h": 0.1125,
   "volume": 1980.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 60-65%",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume": 3049.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 55-60%",
   "probability": 0.213,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume": 4615.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.1225,
   "change_24h": 0.043,
   "volume": 2073.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50-55%",
   "probability": 0.094,
   "change_24h": 0.0075,
   "volume": 932.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-35%",
   "probability": 0.0475,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3177.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 65-70%",
   "probability": 0.0445,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 1714.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 70-75%",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1269.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 75%+",
   "probability": 0.025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 827.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 476.78,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 35-45%": [
   [
    1789128026,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.1095
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.081
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.077
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.0585
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.0555
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.058
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.1085
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.1355
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.123
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.157
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.1305
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791374458,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791417656,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791504059,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.2075
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 60-65%": [
   [
    1789128021,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791374438,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791417638,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791460848,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791504039,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791547240,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791680783,
    0.225
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 55-60%": [
   [
    1789128021,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.1735
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.128
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.1315
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.113
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.126
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.128
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.1255
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.2105
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.1925
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.1175
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.1305
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.181
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1791374438,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1791417638,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1791460848,
    0.2345
   ],
   [
    1791504039,
    0.2145
   ],
   [
    1791547239,
    0.1305
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.161
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.2235
   ],
   [
    1791680783,
    0.327
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
