{
 "slug": "mo-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mo-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-25T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21282.83,
 "volume_24h": 2070.07,
 "liquidity": 71166.27,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": 0.165,
   "volume": 2737.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.3235,
   "change_24h": 0.103,
   "volume": 3094.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.1335,
   "change_24h": -0.0175,
   "volume": 4291.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 3330.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.071,
   "change_24h": -0.1685,
   "volume": 2839.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30%+",
   "probability": 0.0595,
   "change_24h": -0.046,
   "volume": 3896.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0175,
   "change_24h": -0.0195,
   "volume": 411.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 679.92,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 10-15%": [
   [
    1790380823,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791331234,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791806440,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792065652,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792152051,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792195256,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238453,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792368049,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792411248,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792454449,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792540854,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792584055,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792670454,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792756852,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792886411,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792929649,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792934304,
    0.325
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 15-20%": [
   [
    1790380819,
    0.2485
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.2485
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.3095
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.296
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.3115
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.3035
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.222
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.2445
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.1995
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.1615
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.1695
   ],
   [
    1791374442,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791417641,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791460852,
    0.214
   ],
   [
    1791504043,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1791547243,
    0.231
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.1285
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.154
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.1635
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.1565
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.3515
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.352
   ],
   [
    1792022451,
    0.3355
   ],
   [
    1792065637,
    0.3355
   ],
   [
    1792108837,
    0.3245
   ],
   [
    1792152038,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1792195243,
    0.2335
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.231
   ],
   [
    1792324851,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792368035,
    0.231
   ],
   [
    1792411235,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1792497638,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792540839,
    0.2335
   ],
   [
    1792584038,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1792670439,
    0.213
   ],
   [
    1792713654,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1792756839,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1792800049,
    0.2315
   ],
   [
    1792929636,
    0.341
   ],
   [
    1792934302,
    0.324
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 5-10%": [
   [
    1790380822,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.1245
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.1105
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.0975
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.097
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.113
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.132
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.138
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.151
   ],
   [
    1791417657,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.1975
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.198
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.198
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.1975
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.1965
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.1945
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.1945
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.1945
   ],
   [
    1792065650,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792152049,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792368047,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792411247,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1792454447,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792497650,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792540852,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792584053,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792756850,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792800059,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1792886408,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792929647,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792934304,
    0.132
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}