{
 "slug": "mo-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 43339.28,
 "volume_24h": 1532.27,
 "liquidity": 103510.52,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3%+",
   "probability": 0.9,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 11211.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.0685,
   "change_24h": 0.0315,
   "volume": 4825.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.0255,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume": 5024.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.002,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 4262.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4446.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3973.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12-15%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3298.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 18-21%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2268.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 21%+",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2177.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-18%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1850.78,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 3%+": [
   [
    1787616019,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1787659220,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1787702420,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1787745621,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1787788821,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1787832035,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1787875220,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1787918418,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1787961621,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788004820,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1788048020,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1788091219,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788134420,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788177621,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1788220831,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1788264021,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788307219,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788350437,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788393623,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1788436822,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1788523218,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788566418,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1788609620,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788652824,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788696018,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788739232,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790272934,
    0.9
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 0-3%": [
   [
    1787616018,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1787659219,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1787702419,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1787745619,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1787788820,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1787832034,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1787875219,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1787918417,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1787961620,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788004819,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788048019,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788091219,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1788134419,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1788177620,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788220830,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1788264020,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1788307218,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788350436,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1788393622,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1788436821,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788523217,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1788609619,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1788652823,
    0.087
   ],
   [
    1788696017,
    0.082
   ],
   [
    1788739232,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.079
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.079
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.1085
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.0935
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.044
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790272934,
    0.068
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 0-3%": [
   [
    1787616022,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1787659224,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1787702423,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1787745625,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1787832038,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1787961624,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788048023,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788091223,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1788393626,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1788436826,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.1305
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.044
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.0315
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.041
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.041
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790272934,
    0.0255
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
