{
 "slug": "nc-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-07T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 33041.4,
 "volume_24h": 961.33,
 "liquidity": 51763.88,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50-55%",
   "probability": 0.957,
   "change_24h": 0.0465,
   "volume": 2828.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.049,
   "volume": 7190.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 13897.28,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 4201.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-25%",
   "probability": 0.004,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 696.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 1449.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 55%+",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 1186.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.002,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 558.17,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 635.88,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-15%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 395.59,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 50-55%": [
   [
    1791374440,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1791417639,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1791460849,
    0.1935
   ],
   [
    1791504041,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791547241,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.1265
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.0935
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.1055
   ],
   [
    1791720033,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.087
   ],
   [
    1791806429,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1791849636,
    0.128
   ],
   [
    1791892833,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1791936034,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1791979245,
    0.1255
   ],
   [
    1792022450,
    0.1845
   ],
   [
    1792065635,
    0.2045
   ],
   [
    1792108835,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1792152036,
    0.1155
   ],
   [
    1792195241,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1792238436,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1792324849,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792368034,
    0.144
   ],
   [
    1792411233,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1792454433,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1792497636,
    0.1585
   ],
   [
    1792540836,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1792584036,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1792670437,
    0.1635
   ],
   [
    1792713652,
    0.1525
   ],
   [
    1792756837,
    0.109
   ],
   [
    1792800048,
    0.1175
   ],
   [
    1792929634,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1793016028,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1793059253,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1793102445,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1793145635,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1793188848,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1793275236,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1793318436,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1793361648,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1793404854,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1793448043,
    0.0485
   ],
   [
    1793491246,
    0.1045
   ],
   [
    1793534433,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1793577632,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1793620833,
    0.1815
   ],
   [
    1793664028,
    0.1815
   ],
   [
    1793707244,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1793750431,
    0.2435
   ],
   [
    1793793632,
    0.8695
   ],
   [
    1793836843,
    0.884
   ],
   [
    1793880032,
    0.893
   ],
   [
    1793923233,
    0.919
   ],
   [
    1793966433,
    0.934
   ],
   [
    1794009633,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1794016465,
    0.958
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 45-50%": [
   [
    1791374431,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791417631,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791460841,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791504032,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791547232,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791676829,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791720029,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791806425,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791849631,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791892828,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791936029,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791979240,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792022445,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792065629,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792108829,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792152030,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792195235,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792238430,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792281656,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792324843,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792368027,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792411227,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792454427,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792497630,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792540830,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792584029,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792670430,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792713645,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792756832,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792800043,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792929628,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1793016024,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1793059248,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1793102438,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1793145628,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1793188841,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1793275228,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1793318429,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1793361641,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1793404846,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1793448035,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1793491239,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1793534425,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1793577624,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1793620825,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1793664023,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1793707238,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1793750425,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1793793626,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1793836838,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1793880026,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1793923227,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1793966426,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1794009627,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1794016464,
    0.036
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 40-45%": [
   [
    1791374432,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1791417632,
    0.1565
   ],
   [
    1791460842,
    0.183
   ],
   [
    1791504032,
    0.2815
   ],
   [
    1791547233,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.3545
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.2735
   ],
   [
    1791676829,
    0.2185
   ],
   [
    1791720029,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.197
   ],
   [
    1791806426,
    0.156
   ],
   [
    1791849632,
    0.226
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.2275
   ],
   [
    1791936030,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1791979240,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1792022445,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1792065629,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1792108830,
    0.2295
   ],
   [
    1792152031,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1792195236,
    0.2265
   ],
   [
    1792238430,
    0.2235
   ],
   [
    1792281656,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792324843,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1792368028,
    0.2225
   ],
   [
    1792411228,
    0.221
   ],
   [
    1792454428,
    0.217
   ],
   [
    1792497630,
    0.1965
   ],
   [
    1792540830,
    0.2185
   ],
   [
    1792584030,
    0.221
   ],
   [
    1792670430,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1792713646,
    0.172
   ],
   [
    1792756832,
    0.2825
   ],
   [
    1792800043,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1792929628,
    0.2495
   ],
   [
    1793016025,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1793059248,
    0.2975
   ],
   [
    1793102439,
    0.2975
   ],
   [
    1793145629,
    0.461
   ],
   [
    1793188842,
    0.4385
   ],
   [
    1793275229,
    0.393
   ],
   [
    1793318430,
    0.4645
   ],
   [
    1793361641,
    0.4195
   ],
   [
    1793404847,
    0.4675
   ],
   [
    1793448036,
    0.438
   ],
   [
    1793491240,
    0.154
   ],
   [
    1793534427,
    0.277
   ],
   [
    1793577625,
    0.1845
   ],
   [
    1793620825,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1793664024,
    0.3145
   ],
   [
    1793707239,
    0.3025
   ],
   [
    1793750426,
    0.3025
   ],
   [
    1793793627,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1793836838,
    0.0935
   ],
   [
    1793880027,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1793923228,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1793966427,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1794009628,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1794016464,
    0.0085
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}