{
 "slug": "nc-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-07T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 29968.49,
 "volume_24h": 51.44,
 "liquidity": 29689.39,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.5855,
   "change_24h": -0.1475,
   "volume": 2751.52,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.2245,
   "change_24h": -0.0195,
   "volume": 1168.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.214,
   "change_24h": 0.103,
   "volume": 3329.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3%+",
   "probability": 0.0485,
   "change_24h": 0.0085,
   "volume": 1439.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.0245,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 7620.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-18%",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1480.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12-15%",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": -0.031,
   "volume": 2939.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 21%+",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 699.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 18-21%",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 980.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 7558.48,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 0-3%": [
   [
    1791374455,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1791417653,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1791504056,
    0.0295
   ],
   [
    1791547257,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791849643,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791979254,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1792152046,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1792195251,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1792238447,
    0.058
   ],
   [
    1792368044,
    0.1065
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1792454444,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1792497647,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1792540849,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1792584049,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1792670449,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1792756847,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1792800057,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1792886405,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1792929644,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1793016036,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1793102457,
    0.1515
   ],
   [
    1793145647,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1793275249,
    0.149
   ],
   [
    1793318450,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1793448058,
    0.1835
   ],
   [
    1793534447,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1793577645,
    0.1045
   ],
   [
    1793620846,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1793664037,
    0.068
   ],
   [
    1793707254,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1793750442,
    0.057
   ],
   [
    1793793643,
    0.4675
   ],
   [
    1793836854,
    0.6795
   ],
   [
    1793880043,
    0.488
   ],
   [
    1793923245,
    0.7415
   ],
   [
    1793966445,
    0.5975
   ],
   [
    1794009645,
    0.5535
   ],
   [
    1794016466,
    0.5745
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 0-3%": [
   [
    1791374448,
    0.0435
   ],
   [
    1791417647,
    0.0435
   ],
   [
    1791460858,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791504049,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791547250,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791633636,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791676837,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791720037,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1791849640,
    0.057
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1791979250,
    0.0585
   ],
   [
    1792022455,
    0.0585
   ],
   [
    1792065641,
    0.0585
   ],
   [
    1792108840,
    0.058
   ],
   [
    1792152042,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1792195247,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1792238442,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1792324855,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792368039,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792411239,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792454439,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792497642,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792540843,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1792584043,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792670443,
    0.1505
   ],
   [
    1792713659,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1792756843,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1792800053,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1792929639,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1793016033,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1793059258,
    0.094
   ],
   [
    1793102452,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1793145641,
    0.106
   ],
   [
    1793188856,
    0.1585
   ],
   [
    1793275243,
    0.159
   ],
   [
    1793318444,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1793361656,
    0.154
   ],
   [
    1793448051,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1793491254,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1793534441,
    0.138
   ],
   [
    1793577639,
    0.151
   ],
   [
    1793620840,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1793664033,
    0.2345
   ],
   [
    1793707249,
    0.2715
   ],
   [
    1793750437,
    0.1845
   ],
   [
    1793793638,
    0.4655
   ],
   [
    1793836849,
    0.314
   ],
   [
    1793880038,
    0.2495
   ],
   [
    1793923240,
    0.253
   ],
   [
    1793966439,
    0.233
   ],
   [
    1794009640,
    0.2245
   ],
   [
    1794016466,
    0.2245
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 3-6%": [
   [
    1791374457,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791417655,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791504058,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791547259,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791763250,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791892842,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791936043,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791979255,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792065648,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792108846,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792195253,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792238449,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792368045,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792411245,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792454445,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792497648,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792540850,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792584051,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792670450,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1792756848,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1792800058,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792886407,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792929646,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1793016037,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1793102459,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1793145648,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1793275251,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1793318451,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1793534449,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1793577647,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1793620848,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1793664038,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1793707255,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1793750443,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1793793645,
    0.452
   ],
   [
    1793836855,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1793880045,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1793923246,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1793966446,
    0.1075
   ],
   [
    1794009646,
    0.1725
   ],
   [
    1794016466,
    0.237
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}