{
 "slug": "nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-12T09:11:15+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20197.33,
 "volume_24h": 2652.53,
 "liquidity": 86867.47,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-18%",
   "probability": 0.242,
   "change_24h": 0.066,
   "volume": 5295.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 18%+",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": -0.075,
   "volume": 3332.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 2500.45,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12-15%",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": -0.07,
   "volume": 3013.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.1135,
   "change_24h": -0.0575,
   "volume": 3084.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.1055,
   "change_24h": 0.053,
   "volume": 580.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.043,
   "change_24h": 0.013,
   "volume": 486.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.037,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume": 1029.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 6%+",
   "probability": 0.008,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 446.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 428.28,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 15-18%": [
   [
    1789214423,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.081
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.1425
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.1505
   ],
   [
    1791417647,
    0.493
   ],
   [
    1791460857,
    0.238
   ],
   [
    1791504049,
    0.3055
   ],
   [
    1791547250,
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.243
   ],
   [
    1791633636,
    0.2175
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.2075
   ],
   [
    1791720037,
    0.1875
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.2165
   ],
   [
    1791797234,
    0.245
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 18%+": [
   [
    1789214414,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791331219,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791374420,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791417621,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791460830,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791504020,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791547220,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791590419,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791633622,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791676822,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791720022,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791763233,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791797231,
    0.195
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 6-9%": [
   [
    1789214427,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791417658,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791797236,
    0.195
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
