{
 "slug": "newsoms-democratic-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31",
 "title": "Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/newsoms-democratic-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/newsoms-democratic-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-12T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 32163.86,
 "volume_24h": 1575.91,
 "liquidity": 52343.82,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "↓ 12%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3495,
   "volume": 8442.22,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 10%",
   "probability": 0.54,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume": 9386.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 15%",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": -0.075,
   "volume": 5501.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 8%",
   "probability": 0.245,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 387.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 20%",
   "probability": 0.033,
   "change_24h": -0.012,
   "volume": 6355.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 25%",
   "probability": 0.016,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 2090.8,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "↓ 10%": [
   [
    1793750446,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1793793647,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1793836857,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1793880047,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1793923249,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1793966449,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1794009649,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1794052849,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1794096058,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1794139246,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1794182457,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1794225642,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1794268840,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1794312043,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1794355222,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1794398425,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1794441628,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1794445956,
    0.54
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 15%": [
   [
    1794312029,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1794355219,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1794398421,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1794441623,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1794445954,
    0.265
   ]
  ],
  "↓ 8%": [
   [
    1794312033,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1794355220,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1794398423,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1794441625,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1794445955,
    0.245
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/newsoms-democratic-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/newsoms-democratic-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}