{
 "slug": "next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut",
 "title": "Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20261231",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 31012.62,
 "volume_24h": 3509.93,
 "liquidity": 2208.63,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "50%+",
   "probability": 0.9765,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 2245.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "45%+",
   "probability": 0.967,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 1477.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "55%+",
   "probability": 0.56,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 18676.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "60%+",
   "probability": 0.1255,
   "change_24h": 0.101,
   "volume": 8612.6,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "50%+": [
   [
    1787616025,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1787659228,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1787702428,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1787745630,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1787875229,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1787918428,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1787961629,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1788004828,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1788048028,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1788220839,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1788652829,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1788782426,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789300828,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789560033,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.86
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789819229,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1789905624,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.9595
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.957
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.969
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.974
   ]
  ],
  "45%+": [
   [
    1787616020,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1787659221,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1787702422,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1787745622,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1787788822,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1787832036,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1787875222,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1787918420,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1788004822,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.86
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1788177622,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1788220832,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1788264023,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1788436824,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.909
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.969
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.9665
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.954
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.964
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.959
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.963
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.962
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.9605
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.9645
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.9615
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.962
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.9595
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.964
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.961
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.9565
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.964
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.963
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.9605
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.9645
   ],
   [
    1790272755,
    0.967
   ]
  ],
  "55%+": [
   [
    1787616019,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1787659220,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1787702420,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1787745621,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1787788821,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1787832035,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1787875220,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1787918418,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1787961621,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788004820,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788048020,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788091219,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1788134420,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1788177621,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1788220831,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1788264021,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1788307219,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1788350437,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1788393623,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1788436822,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1788523218,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1788566418,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1788609620,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1788652824,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1788696018,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1788739232,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790272755,
    0.56
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}