{
 "slug": "next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro",
 "title": "Next leader out of power before 2027?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 554513.17,
 "volume_24h": 21344.39,
 "liquidity": 728388.49,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Netanyahu - Israel PM",
   "probability": 0.355,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 118515.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "None before 2027",
   "probability": 0.345,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 114068.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lecornu - France PM",
   "probability": 0.1185,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume": 18015.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Merz - German Chancellor",
   "probability": 0.0405,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 25196.16,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Abbas - President of Palestine",
   "probability": 0.03,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 13764.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "al-Sharaa - Syria President",
   "probability": 0.024,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume": 13719.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Erdoğan - Türkiye President",
   "probability": 0.016,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 19025.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President",
   "probability": 0.014,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 17940.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Xi - General Secretary of the CCP",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 22208.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lula da Silva - Brazil President",
   "probability": 0.0095,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume": 13416.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Sánchez - Spanish PM",
   "probability": 0.008,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 14462.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Macron - France President",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 19043.21,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Zelenskyy - Ukraine President",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 15788.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Milei - Argentina President",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume": 14304.21,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Díaz-Canel - Cuba President",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 17533.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Putin - Russia President",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume": 14167.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Newsom - California Governor",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 14407.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Albanese - Australia PM",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 12674.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Takaichi - Japan PM",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 14528.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 14204.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Trump - USA President",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 13816.17,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Sheinbaum - Mexico President",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 13711.37,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Netanyahu - Israel PM": [
   [
    1787529628,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1787572825,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1787616025,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1787659228,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1787702428,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1787745630,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1787875228,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1787918428,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788004828,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788220839,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1788652829,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789300828,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789819229,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790178614,
    0.355
   ]
  ],
  "None before 2027": [
   [
    1787529624,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787572821,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787616022,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787659224,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787702424,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787745625,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1787832039,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787961624,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788048024,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788091223,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788393627,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788436827,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790178613,
    0.345
   ]
  ],
  "Lecornu - France PM": [
   [
    1787529628,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1787572824,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1787616025,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1787659228,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1787702427,
    0.0125
   ],
   [
    1787745630,
    0.011
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.011
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1787875228,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1787918427,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.0105
   ],
   [
    1788004828,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.012
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.0645
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.0915
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.1055
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.1085
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1790178614,
    0.1185
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
