{
 "slug": "nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026",
 "title": "Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-08T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 280687.58,
 "volume_24h": 2160.94,
 "liquidity": 36697.21,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By March 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.255,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3265.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 277421.89,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By March 31, 2027": [
   [
    1788868813,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791331219,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791374420,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791417621,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791421641,
    0.255
   ]
  ],
  "By December 31, 2026": [
   [
    1788868820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790164831,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791374450,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791417649,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791421644,
    0.075
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
