{
 "slug": "nj-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nj-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nj-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-22T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20172.23,
 "volume_24h": 903.05,
 "liquidity": 89414.81,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2964.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.2195,
   "change_24h": 0.0285,
   "volume": 4350.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 2517.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.087,
   "change_24h": 0.029,
   "volume": 1441.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.0665,
   "change_24h": -0.012,
   "volume": 2972.46,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.0365,
   "change_24h": -0.016,
   "volume": 960.38,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35%+",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": -0.047,
   "volume": 2153.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2463.95,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 348.05,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 20-25%": [
   [
    1790078412,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791244816,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791331219,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791374420,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791417621,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791460830,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791504020,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791547220,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791590419,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791633622,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791676822,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791720022,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791763233,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791806418,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791849624,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791892820,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791936022,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791979232,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792022436,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792065620,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792108821,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792152021,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792195226,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792238420,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792281647,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792324834,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792368019,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792411218,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792454419,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792497620,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792540820,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792584020,
    0.27
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790078422,
    0.2515
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.252
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.252
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.252
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.272
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.327
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.2985
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.3225
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.304
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.283
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.267
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.2745
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.2595
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.321
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.3165
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.2995
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.318
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.3275
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.304
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.3455
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.3145
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.3075
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.308
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.3395
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.3395
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.282
   ],
   [
    1791374459,
    0.2805
   ],
   [
    1791417656,
    0.273
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.3255
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.334
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.316
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.316
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.3155
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.3155
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.313
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.346
   ],
   [
    1792065649,
    0.309
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.307
   ],
   [
    1792152048,
    0.3075
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.3065
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.304
   ],
   [
    1792368046,
    0.3145
   ],
   [
    1792411246,
    0.206
   ],
   [
    1792454446,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1792497649,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1792540851,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1792584052,
    0.191
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 15-20%": [
   [
    1790078415,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791331222,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791374430,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791417630,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791460840,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791504030,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791547230,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791633628,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791676828,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791720028,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791806425,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791849631,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791892827,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791936029,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791979239,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792022444,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792065628,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792108829,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792152030,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792195234,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792238429,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792281655,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792324842,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792368027,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792411226,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792454426,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792497629,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792540829,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792584029,
    0.205
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nj-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nj-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}