{
 "slug": "ny-22-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ny-22-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-22-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-21T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20151.88,
 "volume_24h": 876.49,
 "liquidity": 80047.24,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume": 6385.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 3834.65,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.12,
   "change_24h": -0.195,
   "volume": 3222.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": 2093.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30%+",
   "probability": 0.056,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 1340.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1598.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 870.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 806.42,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 20-25%": [
   [
    1790035222,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791374458,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791417656,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791504059,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791763250,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791892842,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791936043,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792065649,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1792108846,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792152048,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1792195253,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792238449,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792368046,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792411246,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792454446,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792497649,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792540850,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792584052,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792588463,
    0.275
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 15-20%": [
   [
    1790035216,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791331222,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791374431,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791417631,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791460841,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791504031,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791547231,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791676829,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791720028,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791806425,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791849631,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791892828,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1791936029,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791979240,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792022444,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792065628,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792108829,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792152030,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792195235,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792238429,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792281655,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792324842,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792368027,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792411226,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792454427,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792497629,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792540829,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792584029,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792588460,
    0.27
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790035222,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791374456,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791979254,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792195252,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1792238448,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792368045,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792454445,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792497648,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792540849,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792584050,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792588463,
    0.13
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ny-22-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ny-22-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}