{
 "slug": "october-2026-1st-2nd-or-3rd-hottest-on-record",
 "title": "October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/october-2026-1st-2nd-or-3rd-hottest-on-record/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/october-2026-1st-2nd-or-3rd-hottest-on-record",
 "category": "other",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-16T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-29T17:14:42+00:00",
 "volume": 28376.51,
 "volume_24h": 168.01,
 "liquidity": 7799.25,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "1st hottest",
   "probability": 0.955,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume": 17037.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "3rd hottest",
   "probability": 0.032,
   "change_24h": -0.013,
   "volume": 8052.97,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2nd hottest",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1928.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "4th or lower ",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1357.49,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
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    0.48
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
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   [
    1790942420,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.705
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   [
    1791028822,
    0.7
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   [
    1791072020,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
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   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.845
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   [
    1791244823,
    0.865
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   [
    1791288027,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1791331227,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1791374444,
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   [
    1791417644,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1791460854,
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   ],
   [
    1791504045,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1791547246,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1791633634,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1791676835,
    0.865
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   [
    1791720035,
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   ],
   [
    1791763245,
    0.87
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   [
    1791806431,
    0.9
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   [
    1791849638,
    0.94
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   [
    1791892835,
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   [
    1791936037,
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   [
    1791979248,
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   [
    1792022453,
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   [
    1792065638,
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   [
    1792108838,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1792152039,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1792157656,
    0.9485
   ]
  ],
  "3rd hottest": [
   [
    1790812822,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.12
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   [
    1791331225,
    0.1
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   [
    1791374439,
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   [
    1791417639,
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   [
    1791460849,
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   [
    1791504040,
    0.235
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   [
    1791547241,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.11
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   [
    1791676833,
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   [
    1791720033,
    0.12
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   [
    1791763243,
    0.135
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   [
    1791806429,
    0.095
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   [
    1791849636,
    0.045
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   [
    1791892833,
    0.0335
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   [
    1791936034,
    0.034
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   [
    1791979245,
    0.0525
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   [
    1792022450,
    0.045
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   [
    1792065635,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792108835,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1792152036,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1792157655,
    0.0335
   ]
  ],
  "2nd hottest": [
   [
    1790812828,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.08
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   [
    1791244829,
    0.0305
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   [
    1791288033,
    0.03
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   [
    1791331234,
    0.032
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   [
    1791590435,
    0.0055
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   [
    1791633641,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1791676843,
    0.0055
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   [
    1791720043,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.0055
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   [
    1791806440,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.002
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1792065652,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1792152051,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1792157658,
    0.0015
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/october-2026-1st-2nd-or-3rd-hottest-on-record/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/october-2026-1st-2nd-or-3rd-hottest-on-record/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}