{
 "slug": "ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-19T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 24425.26,
 "volume_24h": 5410.95,
 "liquidity": 113453.18,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3980.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.1495,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3182.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.112,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3062.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 2955.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.074,
   "change_24h": -0.091,
   "volume": 7872.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 50%+",
   "probability": 0.053,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 791.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.052,
   "change_24h": 0.017,
   "volume": 439.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": -0.018,
   "volume": 1136.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": 0.008,
   "volume": 501.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.004,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 501.82,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 35-40%": [
   [
    1789862419,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791374433,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791417634,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791460843,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791504034,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791547234,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791590425,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1791720030,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791806427,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791849633,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791979241,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1792022446,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792065631,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792108831,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792152032,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792195237,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792238432,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792281657,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792324845,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792368029,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792411229,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792415419,
    0.295
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 30-35%": [
   [
    1789862425,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.088
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.088
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.088
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.244
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.1095
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.2675
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.112
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.223
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.267
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.2685
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.2845
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.291
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.1555
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.183
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.2165
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.226
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.271
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.2745
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.292
   ],
   [
    1791374456,
    0.3075
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.2805
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.2485
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.2475
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.1415
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.092
   ],
   [
    1791763250,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1791892842,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1791936043,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1791979255,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.157
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.158
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.159
   ],
   [
    1792195252,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238448,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792368045,
    0.1425
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.149
   ],
   [
    1792415422,
    0.13
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 45-50%": [
   [
    1789862418,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1789905614,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1789948814,
    0.2265
   ],
   [
    1789992011,
    0.2545
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.207
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.1845
   ],
   [
    1790164819,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1790208027,
    0.182
   ],
   [
    1790251216,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.1735
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.1755
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.0825
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1791331221,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1791374428,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1791417628,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1791460837,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791504028,
    0.151
   ],
   [
    1791547228,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1791590422,
    0.084
   ],
   [
    1791633627,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791676827,
    0.1035
   ],
   [
    1791720027,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1791763238,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1791806424,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1791849629,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1791892826,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1791936027,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1791979238,
    0.1965
   ],
   [
    1792022442,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1792065626,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1792108827,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1792152027,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1792195232,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1792238427,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1792281653,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1792324840,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1792368025,
    0.1325
   ],
   [
    1792411224,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1792415418,
    0.113
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
