{
 "slug": "oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner",
 "title": "Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner-1754500000000",
 "category": "culture",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-26T02:04:08+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 29109.04,
 "volume_24h": 438.87,
 "liquidity": 20188.69,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "The Black Ball",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 16680.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Invite",
   "probability": 0.26,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 5216.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Odyssey",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 2419.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Adventures of Cliff Booth",
   "probability": 0.064,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 395.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Wildwood",
   "probability": 0.052,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 545.93,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Project Hail Mary",
   "probability": 0.0515,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 480.23,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Social Reckoning",
   "probability": 0.0515,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 265.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ink",
   "probability": 0.044,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 862.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dune: Part Three",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 426.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "All of a Sudden",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": -0.1215,
   "volume": 633.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Cry to Heaven",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 221.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Saturn Return",
   "probability": 0.0095,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 231.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Clarissa",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 181.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Toy Story 5",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 343.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Whisper Man",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 206.53,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "The Black Ball": [
   [
    1787745622,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787788822,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787832036,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787875222,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787918420,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788004822,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788177622,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788220832,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788264022,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788436824,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790389032,
    0.325
   ]
  ],
  "The Invite": [
   [
    1787745630,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787875228,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1787918428,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788004828,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788048028,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788220839,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788652829,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788782426,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789300828,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789560033,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789819229,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790294430,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790337624,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790389033,
    0.26
   ]
  ],
  "The Odyssey": [
   [
    1787745617,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1787788818,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1787832032,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1787875217,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1787918415,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1787961618,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788004817,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788048017,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788091217,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788134418,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788177618,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788220828,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788264018,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788307216,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788350434,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788393620,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788436819,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788480017,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788523216,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788609619,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788652822,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788696016,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1788739231,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789171218,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789214419,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790389031,
    0.235
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
