{
 "slug": "oscars-2027-best-director-nominations",
 "title": "Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-director-nominations/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-director-nominations-20261013180153422",
 "category": "culture",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-20T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-03-15T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21141.64,
 "volume_24h": 1575.45,
 "liquidity": 26129.13,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Christopher Nolan",
   "probability": 0.9615,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume": 1661.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Javier Calvo",
   "probability": 0.855,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 533.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Javier Ambrossi",
   "probability": 0.82,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 603.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Martin McDonagh",
   "probability": 0.725,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume": 876.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Olivia Wilde",
   "probability": 0.585,
   "change_24h": 0.115,
   "volume": 2055.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Denis Villeneuve",
   "probability": 0.555,
   "change_24h": 0.045,
   "volume": 80.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nathan Fielder",
   "probability": 0.504,
   "change_24h": -0.2125,
   "volume": 2514.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Cristian Mungiu",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 58.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Peter Farrelly",
   "probability": 0.25,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 44.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jesse Eisenberg",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 523.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mike Leigh",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": 0.11,
   "volume": 9.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alejandro González Iñárritu",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume": 491.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "David Fincher",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.12,
   "volume": 60.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Christopher Miller",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1785.04,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Curry Barker",
   "probability": 0.114,
   "change_24h": 0.0405,
   "volume": 88.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Paweł Pawlikowski",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 333.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Phil Lord",
   "probability": 0.081,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1436.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ben Affleck",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 1873.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Na Hong-jin",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 1006.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Janus Metz Pedersen",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 464.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Beth de Araujo",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 851.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Danny Boyle",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 690.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tony Gilroy",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.021,
   "volume": 589.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Andrew Haigh",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 161.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Aaron Sorkin",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 223.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Joel Coen",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 436.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Steven Spielberg",
   "probability": 0.035,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 1300.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "James Ashcroft",
   "probability": 0.033,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 392.36,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Christopher Nolan": [
   [
    1792152038,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1792195243,
    0.9795
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.9635
   ],
   [
    1792324851,
    0.952
   ],
   [
    1792368036,
    0.9655
   ],
   [
    1792411235,
    0.9615
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.9615
   ],
   [
    1792458384,
    0.9615
   ]
  ],
  "Javier Calvo": [
   [
    1792152031,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1792195236,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1792238431,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1792281656,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1792324844,
    0.86
   ],
   [
    1792368029,
    0.86
   ],
   [
    1792411228,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1792454428,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1792458381,
    0.86
   ]
  ],
  "Javier Ambrossi": [
   [
    1792152046,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1792195251,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1792238447,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1792368044,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1792454444,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1792458387,
    0.82
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-director-nominations/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2027-best-director-nominations/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}