{
 "slug": "pa-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-23T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20092.5,
 "volume_24h": 946.17,
 "liquidity": 111157.38,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.306,
   "change_24h": 0.051,
   "volume": 5398.97,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.24,
   "change_24h": 0.0205,
   "volume": 3279.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 1751.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 4526.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.0525,
   "change_24h": -0.0855,
   "volume": 468.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume": 1096.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50%+",
   "probability": 0.0275,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1048.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 1019.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 983.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 519.83,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 40-45%": [
   [
    1790164831,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.1515
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.249
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.159
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.1975
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.1225
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.1075
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.178
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.239
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.247
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.2425
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.2385
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.2505
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.2605
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.2605
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.223
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.1605
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.2465
   ],
   [
    1791374450,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1791417649,
    0.1845
   ],
   [
    1791504052,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791547253,
    0.238
   ],
   [
    1791590431,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791633637,
    0.263
   ],
   [
    1791676838,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1791720038,
    0.232
   ],
   [
    1791763247,
    0.2445
   ],
   [
    1791806435,
    0.2445
   ],
   [
    1791849641,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791892839,
    0.2455
   ],
   [
    1791936040,
    0.233
   ],
   [
    1791979252,
    0.2325
   ],
   [
    1792022457,
    0.329
   ],
   [
    1792065644,
    0.3295
   ],
   [
    1792108842,
    0.318
   ],
   [
    1792152044,
    0.238
   ],
   [
    1792195249,
    0.2365
   ],
   [
    1792238444,
    0.2365
   ],
   [
    1792324857,
    0.2385
   ],
   [
    1792368041,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1792411241,
    0.238
   ],
   [
    1792454441,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1792497644,
    0.2575
   ],
   [
    1792540845,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792584046,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792670446,
    0.227
   ],
   [
    1792718124,
    0.274
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 35-40%": [
   [
    1790164834,
    0.2245
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.2235
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.2295
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.236
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.236
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.236
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.236
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.2365
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.2105
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.2055
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.2045
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.204
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.2145
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.2105
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.2095
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.207
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1791374456,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.2085
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.1935
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.196
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.209
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.2085
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.2085
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.2145
   ],
   [
    1791979254,
    0.2085
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.2255
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.154
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.221
   ],
   [
    1792195252,
    0.2215
   ],
   [
    1792238448,
    0.2265
   ],
   [
    1792368044,
    0.2255
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1792454445,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792497648,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1792540849,
    0.2225
   ],
   [
    1792584050,
    0.2155
   ],
   [
    1792670449,
    0.211
   ],
   [
    1792718124,
    0.239
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 30-35%": [
   [
    1790164835,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791374459,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791417656,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792065649,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792152048,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792368046,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792411246,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792454446,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792497649,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792540851,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792584052,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792718125,
    0.225
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
