{
 "slug": "pa-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-16T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21154.76,
 "volume_24h": 0.0,
 "liquidity": 104915.75,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.2985,
   "change_24h": -0.011,
   "volume": 8245.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.2815,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 3487.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.1795,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 3603.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.167,
   "change_24h": 0.029,
   "volume": 1123.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-25%",
   "probability": 0.0465,
   "change_24h": -0.0235,
   "volume": 848.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 819.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 50-55%",
   "probability": 0.0355,
   "change_24h": -0.0525,
   "volume": 923.17,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 55%+",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 1150.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-15%",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 579.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 372.99,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 35-40%": [
   [
    1789603219,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.1175
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.1355
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.2275
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.2065
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.2705
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.3175
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.324
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.3155
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.3265
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.2815
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.2375
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.2315
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.194
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.3205
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.256
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.2605
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.2595
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.2615
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.263
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.263
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.252
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.246
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.184
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.1915
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.184
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.181
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791417646,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1791460856,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791504048,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1791547248,
    0.1805
   ],
   [
    1791590429,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1791720036,
    0.297
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.3285
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.321
   ],
   [
    1791849639,
    0.3185
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.3165
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.3205
   ],
   [
    1791979249,
    0.3205
   ],
   [
    1792022454,
    0.332
   ],
   [
    1792065641,
    0.3105
   ],
   [
    1792108840,
    0.301
   ],
   [
    1792152041,
    0.299
   ],
   [
    1792157723,
    0.298
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 30-35%": [
   [
    1789603216,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.1105
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.1105
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.2545
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.2245
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.196
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.1575
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.153
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.152
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.1515
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.1515
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.1815
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.1675
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.1785
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.173
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.1645
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.2145
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.194
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.221
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.2325
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.193
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.1935
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.2825
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791374432,
    0.2765
   ],
   [
    1791417633,
    0.2775
   ],
   [
    1791460843,
    0.286
   ],
   [
    1791504033,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791547233,
    0.2855
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.3255
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.3665
   ],
   [
    1791720030,
    0.308
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.307
   ],
   [
    1791806426,
    0.307
   ],
   [
    1791849632,
    0.311
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.2945
   ],
   [
    1791936030,
    0.2975
   ],
   [
    1791979241,
    0.299
   ],
   [
    1792022445,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792065630,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1792108830,
    0.2825
   ],
   [
    1792152031,
    0.282
   ],
   [
    1792157721,
    0.28
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 40-45%": [
   [
    1789603217,
    0.1755
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.279
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.216
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.2085
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.2145
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.201
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.227
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.2595
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.2745
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.263
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.259
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.266
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.2655
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.266
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.263
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.264
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.264
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.2505
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.2455
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.254
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.2595
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.2555
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.2845
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.2655
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.303
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.2185
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.193
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.193
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.2385
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.2435
   ],
   [
    1791331224,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1791374437,
    0.2375
   ],
   [
    1791417637,
    0.2345
   ],
   [
    1791460846,
    0.2305
   ],
   [
    1791504037,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791547238,
    0.2345
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.234
   ],
   [
    1791633631,
    0.234
   ],
   [
    1791676831,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1791720032,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1791806428,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1791849634,
    0.158
   ],
   [
    1791892831,
    0.158
   ],
   [
    1791936032,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1791979243,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1792022448,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1792065633,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1792108833,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1792152034,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1792157722,
    0.1795
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}