{
 "slug": "poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027",
 "title": "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-12T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 159826.09,
 "volume_24h": 475.46,
 "liquidity": 11899.38,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 159826.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": null,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Yes": [
   [
    1789214424,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791374452,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791417651,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791504054,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791547254,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791590431,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791633637,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791676838,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791720039,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791763248,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791767360,
    0.095
   ]
  ],
  "No": [
   [
    1789214427,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791331234,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791590435,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791676843,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1791767361,
    0.905
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}