{
 "slug": "republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31",
 "title": "Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 26648.57,
 "volume_24h": 3494.13,
 "liquidity": 39305.36,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "↓ 35%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.114,
   "volume": 4565.46,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 30%",
   "probability": 0.595,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3300.88,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 40%",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 1967.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 45%",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 7499.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 25%",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": -0.085,
   "volume": 3617.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 50%",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": -0.07,
   "volume": 3618.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 60%",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 1012.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 55%",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": -0.0155,
   "volume": 1066.36,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "↓ 30%": [
   [
    1790121616,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790164819,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790208027,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790251216,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790272514,
    0.595
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 40%": [
   [
    1790078418,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1790272515,
    0.535
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 45%": [
   [
    1790078417,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790272515,
    0.335
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
