{
 "slug": "spacex-starship-flight-test-14",
 "title": "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T16:13:36+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 716425.97,
 "volume_24h": 4516.67,
 "liquidity": 27230.05,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.9755,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 2504.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Super Heavy booster explodes?",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 39224.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "September 30",
   "probability": 0.8165,
   "change_24h": 0.057,
   "volume": 38824.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Successful splash down?",
   "probability": 0.815,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 3116.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Chopsticks catch Starship?",
   "probability": 0.027,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 464869.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 19832.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "September 26",
   "probability": 0.002,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 14566.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "August 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 62536.59,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "September 15",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 47474.66,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "September 19",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 16862.29,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "August 22",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 6612.38,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "October 31": [
   [
    1787616021,
    0.961
   ],
   [
    1787659223,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1787702423,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1787745624,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1787788823,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1787832037,
    0.9685
   ],
   [
    1787875223,
    0.9545
   ],
   [
    1787918421,
    0.959
   ],
   [
    1787961623,
    0.9495
   ],
   [
    1788004823,
    0.957
   ],
   [
    1788048022,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1788091222,
    0.9505
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1788177624,
    0.959
   ],
   [
    1788220834,
    0.96
   ],
   [
    1788264024,
    0.956
   ],
   [
    1788307221,
    0.9365
   ],
   [
    1788350441,
    0.952
   ],
   [
    1788393625,
    0.9395
   ],
   [
    1788436825,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.9475
   ],
   [
    1788609622,
    0.963
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.968
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.971
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.972
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.972
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.9655
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.9725
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.9725
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.973
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.973
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.9735
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.973
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.972
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.974
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.975
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.9715
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.975
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.974
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.933
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.9185
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.9445
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.956
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.9595
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.959
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.9635
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.977
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.976
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.975
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.975
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.9745
   ],
   [
    1790266755,
    0.9745
   ]
  ],
  "Super Heavy booster explodes?": [
   [
    1787616012,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1787659212,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1787702412,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1787745611,
    0.79
   ],
   [
    1787788814,
    0.79
   ],
   [
    1787832028,
    0.79
   ],
   [
    1787875212,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1787918409,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1787961613,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788004813,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1788048012,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788091212,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788134415,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1788177612,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1788220823,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788264013,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788307212,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1788350428,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788393615,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788436812,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1788480015,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788523213,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1788566414,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1788609614,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1788652819,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1788696012,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1788739227,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790266753,
    0.905
   ]
  ],
  "September 30": [
   [
    1787616025,
    0.9305
   ],
   [
    1787659228,
    0.923
   ],
   [
    1787702428,
    0.923
   ],
   [
    1787745630,
    0.9115
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.871
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.861
   ],
   [
    1787875228,
    0.869
   ],
   [
    1787918428,
    0.884
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.882
   ],
   [
    1788004828,
    0.736
   ],
   [
    1788048028,
    0.834
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.8185
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.8225
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.8205
   ],
   [
    1788220839,
    0.7975
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.8355
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.8995
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.873
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.8635
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.8775
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.927
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.9175
   ],
   [
    1788652829,
    0.9295
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.9395
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.8725
   ],
   [
    1788782426,
    0.8745
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.922
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.8885
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.897
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.8975
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.768
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.8195
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.8755
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.911
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.9215
   ],
   [
    1789300828,
    0.9215
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.918
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.886
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.906
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.909
   ],
   [
    1789560033,
    0.9185
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.9135
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.913
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.7095
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.781
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1789819229,
    0.7335
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.736
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.7215
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.7315
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.8175
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.7795
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.747
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.748
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.7725
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.8175
   ],
   [
    1790266756,
    0.8165
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/spacex-starship-flight-test-14/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}