{
 "slug": "third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november",
 "title": "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-09T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21487.63,
 "volume_24h": 875.41,
 "liquidity": 22528.02,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.5785,
   "change_24h": 0.096,
   "volume": 1470.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.448,
   "change_24h": 0.046,
   "volume": 483.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Thinky",
   "probability": 0.4435,
   "change_24h": 0.215,
   "volume": 476.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meituan",
   "probability": 0.4415,
   "change_24h": 0.0855,
   "volume": 485.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nvidia",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": 0.0735,
   "volume": 911.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.434,
   "change_24h": 0.147,
   "volume": 495.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mistral",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume": 515.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tencent",
   "probability": 0.2945,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 421.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Bytedance",
   "probability": 0.2915,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 595.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meta",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.1885,
   "volume": 1711.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.146,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 720.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Google",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 4992.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "DeepSeek",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 698.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Baidu",
   "probability": 0.052,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 451.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.135,
   "volume": 3027.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Xiaomi",
   "probability": 0.0435,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 652.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "SpaceXAI",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 507.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Microsoft",
   "probability": 0.0275,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 459.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amazon",
   "probability": 0.017,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 586.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "StepFun",
   "probability": 0.0095,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume": 1389.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "MiniMax",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 433.9,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Alibaba": [
   [
    1791547231,
    0.1585
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.1565
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791676829,
    0.162
   ],
   [
    1791720029,
    0.1645
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1791806425,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791849631,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1791892828,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1791936029,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1791979240,
    0.1855
   ],
   [
    1792022444,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1792065628,
    0.171
   ],
   [
    1792108829,
    0.171
   ],
   [
    1792152030,
    0.1685
   ],
   [
    1792195235,
    0.1765
   ],
   [
    1792238429,
    0.2625
   ],
   [
    1792281655,
    0.313
   ],
   [
    1792324842,
    0.3175
   ],
   [
    1792368027,
    0.3505
   ],
   [
    1792411226,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1792454427,
    0.2905
   ],
   [
    1792497629,
    0.286
   ],
   [
    1792540829,
    0.2815
   ],
   [
    1792584029,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792670429,
    0.3375
   ],
   [
    1792713645,
    0.257
   ],
   [
    1792756832,
    0.313
   ],
   [
    1792800043,
    0.329
   ],
   [
    1792929627,
    0.378
   ],
   [
    1793016024,
    0.402
   ],
   [
    1793059247,
    0.3825
   ],
   [
    1793102438,
    0.3425
   ],
   [
    1793145628,
    0.3465
   ],
   [
    1793188841,
    0.382
   ],
   [
    1793275227,
    0.3945
   ],
   [
    1793318429,
    0.5095
   ],
   [
    1793361640,
    0.502
   ],
   [
    1793404846,
    0.457
   ],
   [
    1793448034,
    0.3705
   ],
   [
    1793491238,
    0.524
   ],
   [
    1793534425,
    0.4735
   ],
   [
    1793577624,
    0.483
   ],
   [
    1793620825,
    0.4835
   ],
   [
    1793664023,
    0.5005
   ],
   [
    1793707238,
    0.521
   ],
   [
    1793750425,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1793793625,
    0.508
   ],
   [
    1793836837,
    0.4775
   ],
   [
    1793880025,
    0.4045
   ],
   [
    1793923227,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1793966425,
    0.413
   ],
   [
    1794009627,
    0.458
   ],
   [
    1794052825,
    0.5035
   ],
   [
    1794096035,
    0.492
   ],
   [
    1794139224,
    0.4785
   ],
   [
    1794182438,
    0.5835
   ],
   [
    1794187096,
    0.5785
   ]
  ],
  "OpenAI": [
   [
    1791547243,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1792022451,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1792065636,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1792108836,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1792152037,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792195242,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792324850,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792368035,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792411235,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792497637,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792540838,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1792584038,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792670438,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792713654,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792756839,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792800049,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1792929635,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793016029,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793059254,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793102447,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793145636,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793188850,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793275238,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793318438,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793361650,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1793404856,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793448045,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793491248,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793534435,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793577634,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793620834,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793664029,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793707245,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793750433,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793793633,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1793836845,
    0.3565
   ],
   [
    1793880033,
    0.4275
   ],
   [
    1793923235,
    0.4725
   ],
   [
    1793966434,
    0.4495
   ],
   [
    1794009635,
    0.3905
   ],
   [
    1794052834,
    0.387
   ],
   [
    1794096044,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1794139232,
    0.4035
   ],
   [
    1794182444,
    0.4655
   ],
   [
    1794187097,
    0.468
   ]
  ],
  "Thinky": [
   [
    1791547243,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1792022451,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1792065637,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1792108837,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1792152037,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792195242,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792324850,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792368035,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792411235,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792497638,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792540838,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792584038,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792670438,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792713654,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1792756839,
    0.309
   ],
   [
    1792800049,
    0.2615
   ],
   [
    1792929635,
    0.3595
   ],
   [
    1793016029,
    0.3275
   ],
   [
    1793059254,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1793102447,
    0.3305
   ],
   [
    1793145636,
    0.362
   ],
   [
    1793188850,
    0.344
   ],
   [
    1793275238,
    0.4395
   ],
   [
    1793318438,
    0.3705
   ],
   [
    1793361650,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1793404856,
    0.404
   ],
   [
    1793448045,
    0.441
   ],
   [
    1793491248,
    0.2695
   ],
   [
    1793534435,
    0.3895
   ],
   [
    1793577634,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1793620835,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1793664029,
    0.351
   ],
   [
    1793707245,
    0.4265
   ],
   [
    1793750433,
    0.412
   ],
   [
    1793793634,
    0.4355
   ],
   [
    1793836845,
    0.3155
   ],
   [
    1793880034,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1793923235,
    0.4355
   ],
   [
    1793966434,
    0.4005
   ],
   [
    1794009635,
    0.3685
   ],
   [
    1794052834,
    0.368
   ],
   [
    1794096044,
    0.2285
   ],
   [
    1794139232,
    0.3695
   ],
   [
    1794182445,
    0.4315
   ],
   [
    1794187097,
    0.447
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}