{
 "slug": "tx-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-23T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21049.6,
 "volume_24h": 842.32,
 "liquidity": 107387.82,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 4722.46,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.3,
   "change_24h": -0.0315,
   "volume": 2434.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.055,
   "volume": 6569.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 35%+",
   "probability": 0.079,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1064.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.0515,
   "change_24h": 0.014,
   "volume": 555.41,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.0375,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 915.72,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.012,
   "volume": 819.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.032,
   "change_24h": -0.0105,
   "volume": 3201.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0165,
   "change_24h": 0.0055,
   "volume": 766.84,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 10-15%": [
   [
    1790208031,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791374441,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791417641,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791460851,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791504042,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791547243,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792022451,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792065636,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792108836,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792152037,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792195242,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792238437,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792324850,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1792368035,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1792411234,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792497637,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792540838,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792584038,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792670438,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792713654,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792756839,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792761561,
    0.29
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 5-10%": [
   [
    1790208029,
    0.214
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.2165
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.216
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.2105
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.211
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.211
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.236
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.3235
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.267
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.267
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.2715
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.264
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.2725
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.2675
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.2505
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.2525
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.2775
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.278
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.271
   ],
   [
    1791331224,
    0.296
   ],
   [
    1791374435,
    0.2755
   ],
   [
    1791417635,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1791460845,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791504035,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791547236,
    0.272
   ],
   [
    1791590425,
    0.258
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791676831,
    0.243
   ],
   [
    1791720031,
    0.259
   ],
   [
    1791763241,
    0.251
   ],
   [
    1791806427,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1791849633,
    0.2575
   ],
   [
    1791892830,
    0.2415
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.363
   ],
   [
    1791979242,
    0.347
   ],
   [
    1792022447,
    0.274
   ],
   [
    1792065631,
    0.2875
   ],
   [
    1792108832,
    0.2945
   ],
   [
    1792152033,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792195238,
    0.2925
   ],
   [
    1792238432,
    0.2855
   ],
   [
    1792281658,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792324846,
    0.2625
   ],
   [
    1792368030,
    0.2625
   ],
   [
    1792411230,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792454430,
    0.294
   ],
   [
    1792497632,
    0.2945
   ],
   [
    1792540832,
    0.297
   ],
   [
    1792584032,
    0.296
   ],
   [
    1792670433,
    0.3315
   ],
   [
    1792713648,
    0.339
   ],
   [
    1792756834,
    0.3265
   ],
   [
    1792761561,
    0.3475
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 15-20%": [
   [
    1790208033,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791374452,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791417650,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791504053,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791547254,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791590431,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791633637,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791676838,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791720039,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791763248,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791806435,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791849642,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791892840,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791936040,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791979252,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792022458,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792065644,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792108843,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792152044,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792195249,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238445,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792324858,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792368042,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792411242,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792454442,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792497645,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792540846,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792584047,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792670446,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792756845,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792761563,
    0.225
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}