{
 "slug": "tx-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-07T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 25471.57,
 "volume_24h": 543.26,
 "liquidity": 26464.79,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 6%+",
   "probability": 0.9875,
   "change_24h": 0.194,
   "volume": 2013.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.018,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 3031.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 1212.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.014,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 1337.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": 0.0055,
   "volume": 4134.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12-15%",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": -0.026,
   "volume": 5618.41,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 673.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-18%",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 4273.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 2402.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 18%+",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 774.79,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 6%+": [
   [
    1791374434,
    0.1065
   ],
   [
    1791417634,
    0.2055
   ],
   [
    1791460844,
    0.1075
   ],
   [
    1791504035,
    0.1725
   ],
   [
    1791547235,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1791590425,
    0.173
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.0575
   ],
   [
    1791720030,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1791763241,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1791806427,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1791849633,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1791892830,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1791979242,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1792022447,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1792065631,
    0.0485
   ],
   [
    1792108832,
    0.053
   ],
   [
    1792152032,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1792195237,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1792238432,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1792281658,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1792324845,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1792368030,
    0.0325
   ],
   [
    1792411229,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1792454430,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1792497632,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1792540832,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792584032,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792670432,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792713648,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792756834,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792800045,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1792929630,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1793016026,
    0.0645
   ],
   [
    1793059249,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1793102440,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1793145631,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1793188844,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1793275231,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1793318431,
    0.079
   ],
   [
    1793361643,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1793404849,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1793448038,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1793491242,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1793534429,
    0.084
   ],
   [
    1793577627,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1793620828,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1793664025,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1793707240,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1793750428,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1793793628,
    0.5295
   ],
   [
    1793836840,
    0.963
   ],
   [
    1793880028,
    0.7355
   ],
   [
    1793923229,
    0.793
   ],
   [
    1793966429,
    0.9725
   ],
   [
    1794009630,
    0.952
   ],
   [
    1794016464,
    0.9655
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 9-12%": [
   [
    1791590435,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791676843,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791806440,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792065652,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792152051,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792195256,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238453,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792368049,
    0.1445
   ],
   [
    1792411249,
    0.161
   ],
   [
    1792454449,
    0.1335
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1792540854,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1792584055,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1792670455,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1792756852,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1792886411,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1792929649,
    0.179
   ],
   [
    1793016040,
    0.207
   ],
   [
    1793145652,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1793232002,
    0.1775
   ],
   [
    1793275255,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1793318456,
    0.206
   ],
   [
    1793534453,
    0.2165
   ],
   [
    1793577652,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1793620853,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1793664042,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1793707258,
    0.3865
   ],
   [
    1793750447,
    0.2195
   ],
   [
    1793793649,
    0.466
   ],
   [
    1793836859,
    0.014
   ],
   [
    1793880049,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1793923250,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1793966451,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1794009650,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1794016467,
    0.018
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 0-3%": [
   [
    1791374458,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1791417655,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791504059,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.061
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.0645
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1791763250,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.082
   ],
   [
    1791892842,
    0.082
   ],
   [
    1791936043,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1791979255,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1792065648,
    0.0805
   ],
   [
    1792108846,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1792152048,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1792195253,
    0.0435
   ],
   [
    1792238449,
    0.0825
   ],
   [
    1792368046,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1792411245,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1792454446,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1792497649,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1792540850,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792584051,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792670451,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1792756849,
    0.091
   ],
   [
    1792800059,
    0.091
   ],
   [
    1792886407,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1792929646,
    0.0915
   ],
   [
    1793016037,
    0.103
   ],
   [
    1793102459,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1793145648,
    0.0925
   ],
   [
    1793275251,
    0.2065
   ],
   [
    1793318452,
    0.171
   ],
   [
    1793534449,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1793577648,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1793620848,
    0.131
   ],
   [
    1793664039,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1793707255,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1793750444,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1793793645,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1793836855,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1793880045,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1793923247,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1793966447,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1794009647,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1794016467,
    0.015
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}