{
 "slug": "tx-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-17T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20515.64,
 "volume_24h": 1948.4,
 "liquidity": 105951.83,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.297,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 1373.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.2885,
   "change_24h": 0.1425,
   "volume": 5258.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.2775,
   "change_24h": -0.037,
   "volume": 4032.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.074,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume": 2384.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 3685.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.037,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 1301.31,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.034,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 1122.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 5-15%",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 204.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0225,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 465.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 45%+",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 686.95,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 20-25%": [
   [
    1789646421,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.0855
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.083
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.0985
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.0845
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.097
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.084
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.1765
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.1725
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.1805
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.1855
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.182
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.199
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.1915
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.256
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.204
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.2075
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.2925
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.294
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.3125
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.2905
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.303
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.292
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.2935
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.2905
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791374458,
    0.2915
   ],
   [
    1791417656,
    0.2865
   ],
   [
    1791504059,
    0.344
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.326
   ],
   [
    1791633639,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.394
   ],
   [
    1791720041,
    0.3325
   ],
   [
    1791763250,
    0.177
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.1525
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.308
   ],
   [
    1791892842,
    0.298
   ],
   [
    1791936043,
    0.3235
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.287
   ],
   [
    1792065649,
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    1792108846,
    0.3005
   ],
   [
    1792152048,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792195253,
    0.297
   ],
   [
    1792199309,
    0.297
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 30-35%": [
   [
    1789646422,
    0.3245
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.3385
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.3295
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.3365
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.2555
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.254
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.227
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.214
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.2735
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.239
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.237
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.1395
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.1335
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.166
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.127
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.1365
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.148
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.1575
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.149
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.152
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.1485
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.1555
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.151
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.153
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.1795
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.1835
   ],
   [
    1791417658,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.154
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.159
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.193
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1791806439,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1791849646,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1791892844,
    0.1505
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1791979257,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1792065650,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1792108848,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1792152049,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792195255,
    0.2875
   ],
   [
    1792199309,
    0.2885
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 25-30%": [
   [
    1789646417,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.3585
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.3575
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.3595
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.2795
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.244
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.2425
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.2665
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.3475
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.3035
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.297
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.2895
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.296
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.2905
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.2885
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.2885
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.2885
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.294
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.287
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.267
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.274
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.2895
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.287
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.289
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.288
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.288
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1791374438,
    0.3005
   ],
   [
    1791417638,
    0.2995
   ],
   [
    1791460848,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791504039,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791547240,
    0.1995
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.164
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.2175
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1791720032,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1791806429,
    0.0935
   ],
   [
    1791849635,
    0.3215
   ],
   [
    1791892832,
    0.3195
   ],
   [
    1791936033,
    0.3195
   ],
   [
    1791979244,
    0.3135
   ],
   [
    1792022449,
    0.3105
   ],
   [
    1792065634,
    0.3105
   ],
   [
    1792108834,
    0.3145
   ],
   [
    1792152035,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792195240,
    0.2775
   ],
   [
    1792199307,
    0.2775
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
